GUANGZHOU, China (Reuters) - The coronavirus outbreak is hitting a peak in China this month and may be over by April, the government’s senior medical adviser said on Tuesday, in the latest assessment of an epidemic that has rattled the world. In an interview with Reuters, Zhong Nanshan, an 83-year-old epidemiologist who won fame for combating the SARS epidemic in 2003, shed tears about the doctor Li Wenliang who died last week after being reprimanded for raising the alarm. But Zhong was optimistic the new outbreak would soon slow, with the number of new cases already declining in some places. The peak should come in middle or late February, followed by a plateau and decrease, Zhong said, basing the forecast on mathematical modelling, recent events and government action. “I hope this outbreak or this event may be over in something like April,” he said in a hospital run by Guangzhou Medical University, where 11 coronavirus patients were being treated. Though his comments may soothe some global anxiety over the coronavirus - which has killed more than 1,000 people and seen more than 40,000 cases, almost all in China - Zhong’s previous forecast of an earlier peak turned out to be premature. “We don’t know why it’s so contagious, so that’s a big problem,” added Zhong, who helped identify flaws in China’s emergency response systems during the 2002-03 SARS crisis. He said there was a gradual reduction in new cases in the southern province of Guangdong where he is based, and also in Zhejiang and elsewhere. “So that’s good news for us.” With China taking unprecedented measures to seal infected regions and limit transmission routes, Zhong applauded the government for locking down Wuhan, the city at the epicentre which he said lost control of the virus at an early stage. “The local government, local healthcare authority should have some responsibility on this,” he said. “Their work had not been done well.” The virus is believed to have originated in early December in a Wuhan seafood market where wildlife was illegally sold.
这种说法究竟对不对？约翰斯・霍普金斯大学健康安全中心（Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security）的传染病专家阿达尔贾（Amesh Adalja）在Business Insider二月八日的报道指出，4种在人类间传播、可导致轻微伤风的冠状病毒，都像感冒，是有季节性的。他说新病毒"或会在我们过了春天以及进入夏天时缓和（temper off）。"
Business Insider在11日的报道指出，这不等于它会永远消失，它更像是会在春季及夏季"撤退"，并在秋、冬回归。
这种说法究竟对不对？约翰斯・霍普金斯大学健康安全中心（Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security）的传染病专家阿达尔贾（Amesh Adalja）在Business Insider二月八日的报道指出，4种在人类间传播、可导致轻微伤风的冠状病毒，都像感冒，是有季节性的。他说新病毒"或会在我们过了春天以及进入夏天时缓和（temper off）。"
Business Insider在11日的报道指出，这不等于它会永远消失，它更像是会在春季及夏季"撤退"，并在秋、冬回归。
这种说法究竟对不对？约翰斯・霍普金斯大学健康安全中心（Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security）的传染病专家阿达尔贾（Amesh Adalja）在Business Insider二月八日的报道指出，4种在人类间传播、可导致轻微伤风的冠状病毒，都像感冒，是有季节性的。他说新病毒"或会在我们过了春天以及进入夏天时缓和（temper off）。"
Business Insider在11日的报道指出，这不等于它会永远消失，它更像是会在春季及夏季"撤退"，并在秋、冬回归。
在接受路透社采访时，83岁的流行病学家钟南山对新的爆发将很快放缓感到乐观，因为某些地方的新病例已经减少。
他说，高峰期应该在2月中旬或下旬，然后是平稳期，然后下降，这是基于数学模型，近期事件和政府行动的预测。“我希望这次疫情或这次事件可能在4月左右结束。”， 他补充说：“我们不知道为什么它会如此具有感染力，所以这是一个大问题。但他说，他所在的南方省份广东以及浙江和其他地方的新病例逐渐减少。 “所以这对我们来说是个好消息。”
他说武汉在早期阶段就失去了对该病毒的控制。“地方政府，地方医疗机构对此负有一定责任。” ， 他说，“他们的工作做得不好。”
据信，该病毒于12月初起源于武汉的海鲜市场。他说，应该终止野生物交易，在卫生技术方面加强国际合作，改善疾病控制中心的运作以及建立全球“哨兵”制度以警告潜在的流行病。他说：“如果我们更好的合作与协调，我们本可以更早发现人与人之间的传播。”，他补充说，如果有这样的系统，疫情就不会那么严重。
（上文略去了他专为政府洗地的话）
（更新）请看第7页最下方钟南山的习主人的看法，再看专家的反驳，就一目了然了。杀死该病毒的冠状病毒怎么会全部消失呢？ 将来很可能是持久战。
最新消息：一人感染174人！ 处于隔离状态的钻石公主号因一名香港乘客确诊感染新型冠状肺炎，今天再添39名乘客确诊病例，目前全船累计已有174人确诊感染新冠肺炎。
钟南山还有老婆孩子孙子， 不能不考虑呀。
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-doctor-exclusive/exclusive-coronavirus-outbreak-may-be-over-in-china-by-april-says-expert-idUSKBN2050VF
当然，如果你看原文，挺像是中国政府御用放出来的，替政府说话。
看过古装剧就知道很多时候这不是一个option...
蒋彦永医生当年是抗SARS的英雄，说了真话，现在不就被软禁了?
正想说这个 哈哈哈哈
还是为了和TRUMP呼应 啊哈哈！
就算是地方政府问题，也没看到政府有出来道过歉吧。
你这个是谣言：
我一直想问你是凤姐吗
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-doctor-exclusive/exclusive-coronavirus-outbreak-may-be-over-in-china-by-april-says-expert-idUSKBN2050VF
Exclusive: Coronavirus outbreak may be over in China by April - expert
David Kirton
GUANGZHOU, China (Reuters) - The coronavirus outbreak is hitting a peak in China this month and may be over by April, the government’s senior medical adviser said on Tuesday, in the latest assessment of an epidemic that has rattled the world.
In an interview with Reuters, Zhong Nanshan, an 83-year-old epidemiologist who won fame for combating the SARS epidemic in 2003, shed tears about the doctor Li Wenliang who died last week after being reprimanded for raising the alarm.
But Zhong was optimistic the new outbreak would soon slow, with the number of new cases already declining in some places.
The peak should come in middle or late February, followed by a plateau and decrease, Zhong said, basing the forecast on mathematical modelling, recent events and government action.
“I hope this outbreak or this event may be over in something like April,” he said in a hospital run by Guangzhou Medical University, where 11 coronavirus patients were being treated.
Though his comments may soothe some global anxiety over the coronavirus - which has killed more than 1,000 people and seen more than 40,000 cases, almost all in China - Zhong’s previous forecast of an earlier peak turned out to be premature.
“We don’t know why it’s so contagious, so that’s a big problem,” added Zhong, who helped identify flaws in China’s emergency response systems during the 2002-03 SARS crisis.
He said there was a gradual reduction in new cases in the southern province of Guangdong where he is based, and also in Zhejiang and elsewhere. “So that’s good news for us.”
With China taking unprecedented measures to seal infected regions and limit transmission routes, Zhong applauded the government for locking down Wuhan, the city at the epicentre which he said lost control of the virus at an early stage.
“The local government, local healthcare authority should have some responsibility on this,” he said.
“Their work had not been done well.”
The virus is believed to have originated in early December in a Wuhan seafood market where wildlife was illegally sold.
同支持。
这里有些人前阵钟南山说严重时连连称是，现在人根据数据趋势作了个比较乐观的预测就变成大外宣了。
按有些人的标准，川普也该算五毛，因为他刚说中国抗疫情很专业这事会很快过去
最讨厌一群人事后诸葛亮，还指指点点，不修口德。
川普提到他2月6日与中国国家主席习近平的通话。川普说："我想跟身在这房间的人说，2月4日我与习主席曾长谈，他非常有信心，他觉得，在4月或是4月期间，天气变热、一般来说，会杀死这种病毒。"
这种说法究竟对不对？约翰斯・霍普金斯大学健康安全中心（Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security）的传染病专家阿达尔贾（Amesh Adalja）在Business Insider二月八日的报道指出，4种在人类间传播、可导致轻微伤风的冠状病毒，都像感冒，是有季节性的。他说新病毒"或会在我们过了春天以及进入夏天时缓和（temper off）。"
Business Insider在11日的报道指出，这不等于它会永远消失，它更像是会在春季及夏季"撤退"，并在秋、冬回归。
同意。一种新的病毒本来也有很多未知，不用把任何一个人神话，也不用动不动给人贴标签。
03年非典那会儿就是政府让说啥他就说啥，他一直这样。。
嗯，是TRUMP转述的，不是他说的。本人是TRUMP铁粉，那条新闻我只看了标题，没有看内容，所以以为是他说的。在此致歉！（对于TRUMP的中译，我更喜欢"创普"------创造一个普天同庆的盛世！）