The novel coronavirus' case fatality rate is currently estimated at around 3%[9] (between 2% and 4%). However, once the province Hubei (where the epicenter Wuhan is situated) is removed from the calculation, the national (China) mortality rate drops to 0.3%. Within the Hubei province, the fatality rate is about 1% when excluding the city of Wuhan (where it is 5.5%). For comparison, the case fatality rate with seasonal flu is less than 0.01% (1 death per every 10,000 cases)[7].Fatality rate for SARS was 10%, and for MERS 34%. 👍 这段说的比较详细了， 死亡率2-4%。
而报道的死亡是100多一点阿。 不是应该1%么 ？
4%从哪来的。 求大神给科普一下。
（一个美国同事问的，我说大家说4%，但我也不知道是怎么得来的。）
是这个道理， 但是目前看大家都在说死亡率是4%。 我就也跟别人讲4%，但有个人多问了句怎么来的，我还真讲不出来。
The novel coronavirus' case fatality rate is currently estimated at around 3%[9] (between 2% and 4%). However, once the province Hubei (where the epicenter Wuhan is situated) is removed from the calculation, the national (China) mortality rate drops to 0.3%. Within the Hubei province, the fatality rate is about 1% when excluding the city of Wuhan (where it is 5.5%). For comparison, the case fatality rate with seasonal flu is less than 0.01% (1 death per every 10,000 cases)[7].Fatality rate for SARS was 10%, and for MERS 34%.
👍 这段说的比较详细了， 死亡率2-4%。
但是除了武汉，死亡率降到了0.3%. 可以理解成传播两代以上，病症会变轻么 ？
Re 柳叶刀不是写12月16号到1月2号期间，前41名患者6例死亡,死亡率是15%。现在数据不够的情况下聊死亡率还为时过早。
呃， 我是说的不知道，但lots of people cites 4%.
官方数字加个0都嫌少，还治愈？
但是官方数字已经统计了这么多患者，最后不是治愈就是死亡，总不能踢出去了，前面倒是很多人来不及确诊没有进入统计。还得等等才能看出各种概率吧，现在总的死亡人数比治愈的还多。。。