Veteran pollster and political analyst Pat Caddell, a regular on the Fox News Sunday night show “Political Insiders,” joined Breitbart’s Washington Political Editor Matthew Boyle on Monday’s edition of Breitbart News Daily on SiriusXM to break down the latest Breitbart News/Gravis national poll, which showed a significant tightening of the presidential race, placing Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by a statistically insignificant 1 point.
“This poll, if anything, is somewhat more Democratic, because of the samples, than it ought to be,” Caddell noted, suggesting the news might be even better for Trump than it appeared.
In the new tracking poll, through Thursday night, Trump led Clinton 43% to 40%. That’s within the poll’s margin of error of 3 points in either direction, meaning the apparent lead could be the result of chance.
- Donald J. Trump’s unpopularity with voters in affluent, suburban areas has jeopardized several House Republican incumbents. - Mr. Trump is so disliked among college-educated voters that he is at risk of losing by double digits in several districts that Mitt Romney won comfortably.
- Donald J. Trump’s unpopularity with voters in affluent, suburban areas has jeopardized several House Republican incumbents. - Mr. Trump is so disliked among college-educated voters that he is at ris...... lengxi1981 发表于 8/29/2016 6:29:38 PM
Polls show tight races in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan 重要信息都藏在中间：“Trump is doing better among independents in all three states, pollsters found. He has a 17-point margin over Clinton among those voters in Ohio”
In the new tracking poll, through Thursday night, Trump led Clinton 43% to 40%. That’s within the poll’s margin of error of 3 points in either direction, meaning the apparent lead c...... chali1234 发表于 8/29/2016 5:29:52 PM
Donald McGahn, a top election lawyer for the Trump campaign, has met with a Republican lawyers group that's planning its own poll-monitoring program, The Washington Post reported.
"What they want to do is create a pretty select, Navy SEAL-type operation that takes the data we're able to provide and deploy resources of the highest caliber," Randy Evans, the chairman of the lawyers group, told the paper. "If you have 7,000 lawyers on the ground, and 200 sophisticated election attorneys on call, you can move quickly."
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距大选日还有70天，政治新闻网站Politico认为，共和党总统候选人川普和他的新竞选团队若以为如今仍有希望扭转选民对他的负面印象，将是大错特错。
Politico指出，过去一周来，川普开始急切地试图为自己重新定位，他换上新竞选总干事和争议性极大的执行长，期望他们能帮他摆脱掉14个月来因大放厥辞、措辞强硬，为自己加诸的枷锁。
不过，共和党人士也深知，川普要达到此目标，几乎是不可能。川普的新竞选总干事康威日前受访也承认，要扭转公众对川普的负面印象，如同掉转坦克车车头一样艰难。
此外，川普想这么做，也时不我予。明尼苏达州的提早投票在25天内开始，32州的提早投票紧随其后。同时，随着夏天接近尾声，90%美国选民表示，已决定投票给谁。
共和党策士、小布什总统副发言人弗雷托说：“康威很擅长选战，但她助选的候选人形象已受损严重，要有作为，为时已晚。”他说，川普竞选团队想设法说服选民，川普比他们所知的更好，“但不会有更好的川普出现”。
共和党策士史密特说：“这段时日他遭受可怕的重创，信任他及相信他能力的人数大受冲击，而此时正逢喜莱莉也身处四面楚歌，在正常情况下，她原本应处于防卫的一方，结果她却不需要做防御工事，川普丧失了反攻的机会。”
超过60%的美国民众对川普有负面看法，对喜莱莉持负面看法的则占54%。自两人展开竞选以来，选民对他们持负面看法的比率始终超过50%，对川普持负 面看法的比率也一直徘徊在60%左右。上周威斯康辛州选民被询及，若要以气味形容此次选举，他们会用何种字眼，他们的回答包括“臭鸡蛋”、“垃圾”、“水 肥”和“臭鼬放的屁”。
昆尼别克大学25日公布民调指出，90%的可能选民已决定支持的候选人。昆尼别克大学民调副主任莫利说：“随着投票日逼进，喜莱莉以十个百分点领先，我们已开始听到喜莱莉压倒性胜利的模糊声响。”他说，川普的失算、跌跤和失言，影响远大于喜莱莉的信任度被动摇。
Pat Caddell: Media Thinks Race Is Over, But ‘Nervous’ Clinton Campaign Knows ‘This Is a Change Election’
http://www.breitbart.com/radio/2016/08/29/caddell-media-thinks-race-is-over-but-nervous-clinton-campaign-knows-this-is-a-change-election/
Veteran pollster and political analyst Pat Caddell, a regular on the Fox News Sunday night show “Political Insiders,” joined Breitbart’s Washington Political Editor Matthew Boyle on Monday’s edition of Breitbart News Daily on SiriusXM to break down the latest Breitbart News/Gravis national poll, which showed a significant tightening of the presidential race, placing Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by a statistically insignificant 1 point.
“This poll, if anything, is somewhat more Democratic, because of the samples, than it ought to be,” Caddell noted, suggesting the news might be even better for Trump than it appeared.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/29/polls-donald-trump-inches-striking-michigan-pennsylvania/
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html
https://www.wikileaks.org/dnc-emails/emailid/8799
希拉里搞了个联合筹款团队HVF(Hillary Victory Fund)来规避筹款上限。本来筹到的钱是要在希拉里，DNC和32个民主党分部之间分的，结果几乎全进了希拉里的口袋。Politico对竞选的分钱不均问题作了一篇报告。这篇报道5月2号见报，但在几天前，Politico的记者Ken Vogel把这篇报道提前发给DNC的联络部过目，使得希拉里的团队有时间准备回应。
http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-lat-tracking-poll-20160705-snap-story.html
你知道 Trump 所谓的 secret voters 是谁么？
编出来骗小孩的东西你也信。
你什么也不懂
Polling Bias Against Donald Trump | Bill Mitchell and Stefan Molyneux
艾玛，在这个蓝周大本营，今早听最popular的电台，106.9，居然还提了一句，星期二trump 在xfinity有rally。。。 就凭这点，深感欣慰！
你这种吧，除了说别人YY，要数据没数据，要分析没分析，这才叫可怜。我看这次大选，是从全球的政治和经济形势来看的。
你不是说只有美国人才能评论美国政局么？怎么了？没人支持Trump就只好找个加拿大的来充数啦？
Clinton 现在最好的武器就是 Trump。
Trump自己管不住他的大嘴巴，三天两头的给自己挖坑。Pence 每天在他后替他擦屁股，累死了。
那种要数据没数据，要分析没分析，只知道看CNN,POLITICO这种左媒的傻子外国人我当然是瞧不上啦，这个我看的是分析。稀拉拉已经完蛋啦，你们真是活在梦里，看不清形势。
哈哈哈哈，这是我看到最好笑的了，那你说为啥左媒从初选就拼命打击川普呢，真应该拼命捧他啊。
- Mr. Trump is so disliked among college-educated voters that he is at risk of losing by double digits in several districts that Mitt Romney won comfortably.
世界日报消息？台湾人办的。
拼命打击川普是因为他最疯。现在他成为共和党的代表真是 Clinton 上辈子敲穿木鱼修来的福气。要不然共和党随便上一个她就吃不了，兜着走了。
美国人喜欢川普这调调的， 更AUTHENTIC吗。BY THE WAY，你的ID起的很好玩啊。
This is a compilation video of Donald Trump's views and opinions being consistent over the past 30 years.
呵呵，民主党的经济政策很失败，TRUMP上台是减税的。
Why Donald Trump’s Surprising Wins in These Wealthy Suburbs Matter
http://time.com/4337390/donald-trump-connecticut-republican-win/
美国与欧洲即将开启“税收大战”？
http://wallstreetcn.com/node/260155
http://wallstreetcn.com/node/260046
http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201608290010-1.aspx
50% of Germans oppose fourth term for Merkel, poll finds
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/50-of-germans-oppose-fourth-term-for-merkel-poll-finds-2016-08-28
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/27/hillary-clinton-union-support-is-under-dispute/
真JB烦人。
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/08/28/new-black-panther-leader-quanell-x-trump-right-democrats-exploiting-black-votes/
看楼主起的标题，是楼主请我进来的啊
你的这个做法倒是很有稀拉拉的风格，哈哈，所以这就是你为什么看不懂稀拉拉为什么不得人心，因为你和她一样。
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Clinton News Network: Breitbart/Gravis Poll Shows Majority Thinks CNN Does Not Provide Objective Reporting
http://www.breitbart.com/big-journalism/2016/08/28/exclusive-clinton-news-network-breitbartgravis-poll-shows-majority-americans-think-cnn-not-provide-objective-reporting/
重要信息都藏在中间：“Trump is doing better among independents in all three
states, pollsters found. He has a 17-point margin over Clinton among those
voters in Ohio”
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/293697-poll-clinton-leads-trump-in-pa-mi-dead-heat-in-oh
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对，支持猫猫！
可信度不高啊
她赢不了
Donald McGahn, a top election lawyer for the Trump campaign, has met with a
Republican lawyers group that's planning its own poll-monitoring program,
The Washington Post reported.
"What they want to do is create a pretty select, Navy SEAL-type operation
that takes the data we're able to provide and deploy resources of the
highest caliber," Randy Evans, the chairman of the lawyers group, told the
paper. "If you have 7,000 lawyers on the ground, and 200 sophisticated
election attorneys on call, you can move quickly."
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-poll-watching-plan-stirs-voter-intimidation-fears-n631261
哈哈哈
这个太重要了。现在就怕老妖婆们作弊。如果公平公正投票，Trump稳赢
真的像男人
实际上就是这个样子的，左媒做的太过头了，这种招数用太多，都让人一眼看穿。
http://prespredict.com/
这个算法挺靠谱的 用的也是各个poll现在实时的data，之前几届预测的也是准的，现在trump当选的可能性很低很低
为什么反TRUMP的都是这么新的ID？
你们自己把猫猫请来的，人家有理有据你们说不过就咬人，killary又给你们续狗粮了吧，否则这么卖力？
嗯。所以叫一个男人猫猫我实在浑身起鸡皮疙瘩
都是烂马甲呵呵
你误解了。
所谓的 secret voters 是即使在匿名的时候也不敢／不屑／不愿说他们支持 Trump。
俄国的黑客，估计转手就卖给 Trump 了。
因为 Trump 跟 Putin 互相勾搭。Trump 的前 campaign Chairman 以前在 Ukraine 就是给支持俄国的政客当说客， 还因此洗了不少钱。
在此之前黑 Clinton campaign, 并公布内部 email 的也是俄国黑客。俄国在这次大选中很明显的支持一方。
那些email都是真的
何况阿桑奇暗示了被民主党杀死灭口的DNC 内部人士才是他的消息来源
还是希拉里是第一
她收了大量中东穆斯林国家政治献金 还有尼日利亚等外国
把美国20%的核铀卖给了俄国普金
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
我支持公布email，让大家能更明确的认清这些政客。但是只公布一方的email就说明实际上很可能是因为有其他的政治目的。
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08