6关键战场州新民调曝光 贺锦丽川普各擅胜场…

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在这张档案照片组图中,左为美国前总统川普,摄于2024年5月;右为美国副总统贺锦丽,摄于2024年7月。路透

2024年美国总统大选进入冲刺阶段,根据SSRS在各州执行的新CNN民调,前总统川普与现任副总统贺锦丽在6个关键战场州各擅胜场。

根据CNN发布的数字,贺锦丽目前在威斯康辛州和密西根州的可能投票选民间领先川普,川普则在亚利桑那州有优势。威斯康辛州的可能投票选民对贺锦丽的支持度达到50%,川普则为44%。在密西根州,贺锦丽支持度为48%,川普则为43%。川普在亚利桑那州以49%对上贺锦丽的44%。

而在乔治亚州、内华达州以及选举人票最多的宾州,两人在可能投票的选民几乎平分秋色。乔治亚州和内华达州均为48%支持贺锦丽,47%支持川普。两人在宾州的支持度以47%打平。

战场州有平均15%的可能投票选民表示,他们还没有确认投票意向,表明随著竞选的关注度上升跟竞选活动,规模可观的一部分选民可能会改变他们对选战的看法。

这项民意调查在8月民主党全国代表大会后执行。民调结果还表明,在选举人团的形势中,宾州和乔治亚州是川普与贺锦丽通往白宫之路的核心。

根据CNN估算,如果贺锦丽拿下这六州以外拜登总统上届选举赢得的其他州,再赢得她民调领先的威斯康辛州和密西根州,并在宾州胜出,加上其他任何地方的一张选举人票,就能让她赢得总统宝座。

川普2020年赢得北卡州,而北卡州又被视为今年选战的战场州。如果川普拿下北卡州,并在乔治亚州和宾州都获胜,无论威斯康辛州、密西根州或内华达州结果为何,他都能入主白宫。在这种情况下,即使是川普目前保持微弱优势的亚利桑那州,也不是非赢不可。

弯刀月
1 楼
这民吊真幽默
达珑
2 楼
我们川粉只承认对于川总领先的民调,说川总落后的一律都是假民调!
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worley
3 楼
归根结底,民主党控制了90%的传统媒体和社交媒体,无论拜登多么无能,亨特拜登多么腐败,媒体都会替拜登吹捧。民主党对媒体的控制,类似于中共独裁集团。 例如美国电视台,除了Fox, 其它电视台全被民主党控制:CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, CNBC, TNT, CW, Discovery, Univision… 即使Fox电视台,也是有右派也有左派,右派比较多而已。而民主党的电视台全部都是只支持民主党。 媒体本来的任务是报道事实真相,由国民自己判断是非。而民主党的喉舌媒体却是强行洗脑,强行灌输国民自己的政治观点。 这跟中共独裁者的新华社大同小异。
弯刀月
4 楼
看点不是谁领先,而是领先多少点。两人差距应是两位数的百分点。这么胡编就为了数票阶段造假
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cwang28
5 楼
干脆就宣告哈三是美国下届总统。庆贺美国快步步入南非二
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Bhistory
6 楼
rumble*com/v5dll2t-live-with-julie.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp JGM – A BATTLE IS BREWING IN YOUR WHITE HOUSE - [4 Sep 2024] [Word heard – 2 Sep 2024] (Part 1/3) For I the Lord this day am telling My children to prepare for this battle. This is the time of rapid fire, of increasing attacks and unprecedented events taking place. Your enemies are about to fire shots from all directions and many ways to catch you off-guard and to try to knock you off your feet so you can’t stand and you won’t continue to fight in this upcoming battle which they think YOU will lose. They are convinced they have this country and this world right where they needed it, to be the final kill shot for their ultimate control and takeover of the globe. Something is about to knock THEM off their feet and annihilate all their plans and that is ME says the Lord. These desperate attempts and their desperate decisions will bring their end and solidify how their fall in their disastrous exit from power over the nations. My children arise and take your place in govts, and in powerful positions where I need you to be to overthrow the rogue govts worldwide. Take your positions where I have called you to be. It doesn’t matter how impossible or how long it has taken. It is not impossible for Me. I know many have been discouraged because your seats were temporarily stolen and you couldn’t understand why this happened or you were questioning if you should have run for that seat in your govt or in your state in the first place. You were not wrong. Your enemy stole in and now they will ultimately pay a high price for those seats. I need you My children to rely on Me and not a campaign manager or a political advisor. Throw those old ways out and SHOUT MY WORDS. I WILL GIVE YOU THE WAYS TO VICTORY AND IT’S MY WAY YOUR ENEMIES CAN’T CHEAT ENOUGH TO WIN. Things were allowed because even My children were trusting in man’s ways to lead them into these position when you would have gotten there, sabotage was waiting for you. Some of you would have taken a fall for your enemy’s crimes. So some doors that were closed were to save My children, not to destroy them. This was the time to let your enemies think they had the upper hand, to let them be in seats they stole, just for them to be exposed and forced out of them. The set-backs you’ve experienced are actually for your victory and not for your defeat. My children who have been called into political positions – RISE UP NOW! Lean on Me for restoration. Lean on Me for strategy and for moving forward. It’s now time to change how a govt is ruled and not by a machine or an Establishment, not by the ungodly, not by darkness but by Me and with Me says the Lord. It’s time for GREAT CHANGE upon this earth and who rules the nations. It’s time for change saith the Lord of Hosts. The CIA is about to be shaken. A server they’ve used to control the govts and nations and news media is about to be their worst nightmare. Someone is coming to destroy their control over My nation. This person will shock the nation, someone no one expected it to be. The Biden and Kamala are about to butt heads in a massive way. Another power grab will be taken by Kamala that the Biden will fight her on.
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Bhistory
7 楼
(Part 2/3) A battle is brewing in your White House that the Establishment will not continue to hide. More people from the inside that house are about to come out and expose what is really happening inside. A shaking in the polls will prove what most people knew already. A shift will take place the Establishment cannot hide. Kamala’s next decisions will be disastrous in the polls. Every decision her campaign is making, which they think will give her a boost in the polls, will go in the opposite direction. It doesn’t matter what strategy they choose they will lose because their puppet won’t work in accomplishing the job they have given her. An explosion of truth of many things the Secret Service has buried for decades will resurface and no one will suppress this information. The Secret Service is about to shake because the truth can no longer stay hidden on what happened to President Trump but what has happened to so many other people your govt was linked to, they destroyed or they killed, that were a threat to their precious Establishment and it will all be exposed. My children, your govt is responsible for countless deaths you didn’t even know about. The death toll will be revealed and some they thought were silenced are not. Some who have been hidden from the Establishment to help take them down. Since they were no longer suspecting this person alive, they could do more damage to the Establishment. Many chess pieces are about to be played that your enemies will never see coming and it’s almost time for CHECKMATE. The truth regarding Project Veritas and what happened against James O’Keefe and how the Establishment got involved to take him down. A major threat to their strategy and a major threat to their machine. Listen carefully to what James O’Keefe is about to release - a smoking gun the Establishment didn’t know anyone had, but he does. Your enemies tried to take him down but I told you many whistle-blowers were being protected. A massive fallout has begun for the Left and what they thought they would get away with and they haven’t. Some are about to crack under great pressure. It is the time the Establishment will shake like never before. To My David. You’re not listening to the right strategist about how to end this war with the Establishment. Only listen to Me. I have sent prophets with My Words. Some of your most trusted advisors have been keeping them from you and they’re trying to keep you from hearing more from Me. My David you’re a fighter. You have great strength but this knowledge that I have for you and the words and the strategies that I have for you are far beyond what you have heard. And what I have for you is guaranteed. It will crush your enemies rapidly. You’re missing something and you know it. This is the missing piece and it’s Me says the Lord. I am what you need. I AM what this nation needs. Open your heart and let Me fully in so you can win, saith the Lord of Hosts. My children, what is just about to happen in this nation will shake many in their faith, not seeing a way out. But remember I AM your way out from anything your enemies try to put you in. Have faith over fear and be careful on what you hear and remember I AM NEAR to take down your enemies once and for all. SO get ready for Me to move them out of the way says the Lord Your Redeemer.
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Bhistory
8 楼
(part 3/3) Then I also heard… Players who are on the right politically and who are hiding in plain sight because they are Establishment informants and infiltrators are about to be called out and exposed in massive ways. The wolves in sheep’s clothing are about to have their masks ripped off in front of the world. My church you’ve had people wearing masks inside your churches as leaders and some behind the camera online, who are dividers, who are deceivers, who are trying to weaken My Body in several ways. These too will have their masks ripped off. Some were never called by Me. Others were and their hearts become cold and they were only doing things how they wanted and for the wrong reasons. Some have been a part of the occult this whole time. Witches have embedded themselves in many ministries, even in leadership roles. Some are in prayer teams as prayer intercessors. Others are employees sent to sabotage My work and trying to stop My glory from being received. I’m exposing the witches and these wolves from among My people. There’s about to be a great shaking in My church to cleanse it of the snakes that have hid themselves inside ministries. My children get ready for many people to be exposed in ministries who don’t belong to Me at all saith the Lord of Hosts.
达珑
9 楼
worley 发表评论于 2024-09-04 13:37:02 归根结底,民主党控制了90%的传统媒体和社交媒体,无论拜登多么无能,亨特拜登多么腐败,媒体都会替拜登吹捧。 ...... 极右派一天到晚抱怨民主党控制媒体,那不因为是你们腐败的共和党无能吗,谁让你们右媒没有人愿意看呢。美国社会言论自由,说话有人爱听爱看媒体才办的下去。共和党也有钱,最高法院都是你们的,去办10个20个媒体啊,超过CNN,CNBC,超过所有左媒啊,谁让你无能!活该气死憋屈!
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worley
10 楼
归根结底,民主党控制了90%的传统媒体和社交媒体,无论拜登多么无能,亨特拜登多么腐败,媒体都会替拜登吹捧。民主党对媒体的控制,类似于中共独裁集团。 例如美国电视台,除了Fox, 其它电视台全被民主党控制:CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, CNBC, TNT, CW, Discovery, Univision… 即使Fox电视台,也是有右派也有左派,右派比较多而已。而民主党的电视台全部都是只支持民主党。 媒体本来的任务是报道事实真相,由国民自己判断是非。而民主党的喉舌媒体却是强行洗脑,强行灌输国民自己的政治观点。 这跟中共独裁者的新华社大同小异。 说到底,美国超级权贵和既得利益支持民主党,因为民主党是权贵的傀儡。你看看,华尔街大佬、硅谷大佬基本上把民主党作为傀儡扶持。上次美国总统大选,美国最富有的十个人都是支持民主党(马斯克支持的是民主党候选人杨安泽)。一旦金主不高兴,拜登只能放弃连任竞选,傀儡呗。
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868186
11 楼
达珑 发表评论于 2024-09-04 13:31:16 我们川粉只承认对于川总领先的民调,说川总落后的一律都是假民调! 少在这信口雌黄。 愿意接受CNN民调的都是左派,至少中间偏左。右派听到CNN,打它的心都有。 就这样,CNN出来的民调哈哈都没大幅领先。呵呵,把你脑子里的水倒出来再想想