这样想,投坛的ID阵亡的不多,每年到了年底都是花样晒收益,就说明各有各法,各有千秋啊,哈哈

B
BrightLine
楼主 (文学城)

Have a open mind.

g
gladys
Tom Lee 又放气球了---SPX 到15000 by 2030 :D

tom lee prediction most recent prediction               Tom Lee's most recent prediction, as of May 27, 2025, is that the S&P 500 could reach  15,000 by 2030. This is a significant increase from current levels, representing a potential tripling of the index value over the next five years.  Here's a breakdown of his reasoning: Historical precedent: Lee points to periods in the past where stocks have delivered strong annualized returns, often coinciding with periods of lower market valuations. He argues that current valuations, which are high by historical standards, could lead to a period of robust growth in the coming years. Demographic trends: He highlights the impact of Millennials and Gen Z entering their prime earning years, similar to how previous generations fueled economic booms in the past. Technological advancements: Lee believes that advancements in technology and AI will further propel economic growth, driving stock prices higher.  However, it's important to note: Skepticism: This prediction is met with skepticism from some, who argue that the current market is overvalued and that achieving such high targets would require substantial improvements in the economy and the market. Risks: Lee himself acknowledges the risks associated with this prediction, including the possibility of a global recession, adverse developments in AI, or a market bubble.  In summary, Tom Lee's latest prediction is a bold and bullish forecast for the S&P 500, but it's crucial to consider both his reasoning and the potential risks involved. Everything Money provides more context on this prediction. 
g
gladys
别卖了
B
BrightLine
我管他什么专家,卖,哈哈,我的短炒一定卖

跌了再买

g
gladys
Surf the waves :D
三心三意
他又开始跳出来了:)
Q
QinHwang
八仙过海各显神通,论坛才有生机。
三心三意
Tom Lee 在牛市里还是比较准的。但如果熊市来了他就比较危险了
老夏新生
open mind 说起来容易但很多人却做不到。 据我观察你算一个, 我觉得自己也马马虎虎算一个
g
gladys
Tom Lee 说今年年底6600, 希望他准 :D

Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, predicts a strong start to 2025 for the S&P 500 (SPY), reaching 7,000 by mid-year before experiencing a pullback and closing the year at 6,600.

B
BrightLine
多年工作,投资的心得啊,一得瑟就会被打脸。乔布斯都要不停的学习,更何况咱们?哈哈
老夏新生
不知是教育生活背景还是什么原因,有些人眼里心里非黑即白,没有灰
老夏新生
牛人。但他对小盘股的预测完全错了,不少人都错了 :-(
B
BrightLine
真正懂的人,往往更谦虚;不懂的人,反而更自信。

我记得的是2019年世界人工智能大会(WAIC)上,马云和埃隆·马斯克的一场极具争议的对话。两人被安排进行一场“巅峰对谈”,但风格迥异、认知差距也让这场对话成为社交媒体的经典片段。

在谈到“人类是否应该移民火星”时,马云说了这样一句话:

> “我们应该更多地关心地球的问题,而不是火星。火星离我们太远了,我们去不了,也回不来。”

而马斯克则回应:

> “It’s not that hard... You can go in a spaceship and come back.

他并没有直接批评马云的观点,而是保持了冷静、简洁甚至略显尴尬的谦逊态度,但他的语气和表情透出:“我们不是在一个星球聊这个问题。”

整场对话中,马云多次试图用轻松甚至娱乐的方式调侃科学话题,比如他还说:

> “AI 不是威胁,它是阿里巴巴智能(Alibaba Intelligence)。”

马斯克则显得更严肃、理性,他试图强调人工智能、火星移民、人类生存等话题的深度和危险性,却经常被马云的乐观与玩笑打断。

这场对话广为流传的原因在于:

马斯克体现出科学家气质,言简意赅、思考深远;

马云虽然自信幽默,但在涉及深层科技认知时显得有些“轻率”;

马斯克用“谦虚”的态度反衬出马云的“不知者无畏”。

很多网友的评价也与你相似,认为这是“科技文明和商人逻辑的碰撞”,一个站在技术未来的门口,一个停留在商业话术的安全区内。

这也成为后来马斯克粉丝津津乐道的名场面,甚至有人说:“这是马斯克对人类未来最孤独的一次解释。”

 

 

三心三意
老(小)夏是。可以理性讨论
老夏新生
马云更多是个商人,马斯克是个彻头彻尾的疯子 LOL

一个活在地球上, 一个活在火星上

老夏新生
我是做系统工程的,必须尽可能考虑多一些情况
B
BrightLine
此一时,彼一时。我个人认为老马现在也自大了,DOGE是完全的失败
哪吒2025
Don’t give it a shit, he cares making your sub fee only
三心三意
我觉得他风险意识不够。股市掉下去后他也慌了。但在牛市中他的预测还是不错的
哪吒2025
牛市还需要预测吗?还有准不准之说吗?