20-Year Treasury Auction Goes Badly, Yields Spike.

薄利多收
楼主 (文学城)

20-Year Treasury Auction Goes Badly, Yields Spike as Bonds Sell Off. 

薄利多收
5%以上额稳定收入,对股市也是一个打击
2
24桥明月夜
$16B, the size is still very small. It is just telling a

story with which we are familair with. 

The sword of Damocles remains, which may, at any time, move the needle. The US is facing a fiscal cliff but no one knows what to do about it.

薄利多收
16B 就卖成这个鸟样? 前景堪忧
2
24桥明月夜
Longer dated bond becomes a problem across the developed

world. You can check the yield of German and Japanese long term bonds. 

It is not funny at all.

 

w
wave1234
Moody’s 降级的后劲,bond market 的危机提前了。Bessent 的降政府赤字,长期利率的计划都失败了。
g
gladys
现在科技板块掉不动,不可过分看空
不知为不知是知也
bond market最后总之会有FED兜大底。未来真崩了的话, 真正相信美国国运的有机会了。
2
24桥明月夜
I don't think it has anything to do with Moody's rating. The

downgrade is well expected and no one wants to buy the US treasury but couldn't buy as a result of the downgrade.

No one wants the longer dated government bond because the term premia remains slightly negative, moreover, people may question the administration's willingness to put the inflation under control. Indeed, the US Fed focuses on inflation.

加州阳光123
据传是FED上周在悄悄地买国债,美元会更不值钱
w
wave1234
美元一直在走低,所以外资在撤退。
w
wave1234
cherry picking
2
24桥明月夜
Indeed. I've posted a few times here that

lessening the exposure to USD denominated assets is a long term trend.

大禹知比山
某些人什么都不懂还喜欢胡说八道。美联储目前在缩表,到期不续。每月上限为50亿美元。如果当月到期超过50亿,就买回超出部分
w
wave1234
你看的新闻也太老了吧。
2
24桥明月夜
The US Fed has ceased QT.
不知为不知是知也
长期看美国的bond market只有上yield curve control, QE都不能解决问题。
h
huahuaflower
看来大机构在出货 小散后知后觉
波粒子3
收入还不必付税
不知为不知是知也
其实没有什么全知全能的大机构。市场里搞得过benchmark的机构都是少数。
2
24桥明月夜
Yes, copy what Japan has been doing for years. I don't think

it is going to work though. 

不知为不知是知也
反证法:如果美债真崩盘了,全球的金融市场以及经济都得完蛋。

为了全人类的幸福, 美债一定不会真正崩盘。

再进一步, 真到了天崩地裂的那天,我肯定会买。

m
mobius
YCC 学日本?
加州阳光123
我觉得很有可能,巴菲特在这次股东大会上说美元是
2
24桥明月夜
中国不会!
不知为不知是知也
不学怎么办。军费医保社安都是硬的开销,美国国债最后的买家只能是FED。
2
24桥明月夜
央行买国债,这个政权就没有合法性了,这是赤裸裸的抢劫。
大禹知比山
并没有停止,只是减缓,从250亿减缓到50亿。
m
mobius
好像这几天日债也撑不住了?