亮线,关于hedge,here are 3 separate points you could hedge

三心三意
楼主 (文学城)

Catch any 1 of these hedge points could save a big chunk of the drawdown. All these key pivot points were shared before market moved to that location

 

B
BrightLine
谢谢,怎么hedge?
三心三意
Take this specific example...

Before Tariff, the estimate was that if we could not break that resistance at 0.618, then we would go through wave 3 with a target range of 425 +/-

Considering the risk of Tariff, you could buy put spread of 475-425 for a 50 points range of protection, the premium would likely cost $10 for a 3 weeks options.

Of course, if the Tariff annouced was very mild, stock market will rally, and you would lose this $10. But when you consistently apply this methodoly combined with key pivot point on the wave structure, the probability will be on your side. 

B
BrightLine
谢谢,我不知道应该hedge多长,用了sell put还是put spread,哈哈
三心三意
时间上要跟据具体情况。比如说我的Meta是买到今天的Put, 但特斯拉买了4月底因为财报要来了
三心三意
肯定不能用sell put 啊,that's not hedge
B
BrightLine
you mean "buy Put"?
三心三意
Buy put (which has higher premium), or put spread
麻你
你把老师都糊涂了
三心三意
他没有好好看书:)
B
BrightLine
Beginner has dumb luck?

B
BrightLine
Too thick... I read some and then practice some...lol

Remember this week I bought Options...

b
bogbog
sell put 用来买股, 挣点premium啦, 我有看书。 哈哈,但是只明白最简单的

三心三意
I read your post on why you did it, it was a good play

But it is not a hedge, but a way to go long

H
Htbain5898
三心老师, 投资小白问个初级问题

"sell put "和 "buy put" 可以是同一expiration date 吗? 若get assigned stock last minute just before the expiration date, "buy put" 还好有保护作用吗?

n
nmyj
是不是-如果此股近来或NEAR FUTURE表现不好,现PUT; 如果近期好直到一个将来点,便不好,就在那将来点PUT?
三心三意
But why would you want to do it?

If stock rise, you gain nothing.

If stock drops, you gain nothing

三心三意
Not sure what u mean. maybe first read basic option concept?
B
BrightLine
You are exactly right.
b
bogbog
这个接股的方法也有不好的一面,资金不能用,碰到大幅度急跌就不合算了。

感觉挣点premium, 但有可能捡了芝麻丢了西瓜

G
GandalfOld
两个刚好对消,就象自己跟自己作生意,买卖双方都是自己
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QinHwang
再问您个问题:不用杠杆的情况下做波段,SP500 或其它股票,升了百分之几,您就会卖掉?总觉得大起大落的时候定投不适和。
b
bogbog
三心是根据波浪理论的。 也可以有别的TA方法做判断, 应该是
三心三意
Only hedge when big trend has risk to change (or event)
三心三意
I also use many other TA, but elliot wave is best for trend
三心三意
I think I was the 1st person here warned everyone @QQQ 540
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Htbain5898
如果set different spikes, can "sell put" 补偿一些buy put 的cost?
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QinHwang
这个比较复杂,得慢慢体会。
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QinHwang
觉得关税问题远没有解决,造成的恶果也还没有呈现。SP500 5000 点不大可能是底。不如缝跌就买,逢高就买,直到稳定
b
bogbog
关税问题应该影响少一些了,接下来是国债,通胀,Fed应该?
Q
QinHwang
所以觉得现在买了之后,大涨大跌,最后可能远高于低点。
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bogbog
是有可能。 我就分批买,跌的越多买的越多些,这样平均一下到时也差不多买到底,也不会万一来个V失去买进的机会
Q
QinHwang
是的