Ray Dalio says Trump should negotiate a ‘win-win’ trade deal

l
lionhill
楼主 (文学城)
KEY POINTS Billionaire investor Ray Dalio said that U.S. President Donald Trump’s pullback on country specific tariffs was a “great time for all involved to reconsider their approaches.” In a post on the X social media platform, the Bridgewater founder said he hopes Trump will choose to negotiate with China, rather than forge ahead with 104% tariffs on the world’s second largest economy. He also said now was a good time for investors to reconsider their risk tolerance.

Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio said that U.S. President Donald Trump’s temporary pullback on reciprocal tariffs was a “step back from a worse way” of addressing trade imbalances, urging the White House leader to negotiate a “win-win” trade deal with China.

On Wednesday, Trump announced a 90-day pause on country-specific tariffs, with the exception of 104% duties on Chinese imports.

In a post on the X social media platform, Dalio said on Wednesday evening that now was “a great time for all involved to reconsider their approaches” to rebalancing U.S. trade relationships, while acknowledging that America was facing trade “problems.”

“There are better and worse ways of handling our problems with unsustainable debt and imbalances, and President Trump’s decision to step back from a worse way and negotiate how to deal with these imbalances is a much better way,” he said.

“I hope and expect that he will do the same with the Chinese, which I believe includes negotiating a deal that appreciates the RMB against the dollar, achieved by the Chinese selling dollar assets while also easing their fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate their demand. This would be a win-win.”

In a Tuesday interview with CNBC, Dalio said that, while he agreed with Trump that there was a problem with America’s trade relationships, he was concerned about the president using sweeping tariffs as a solution.

“One way or another, there will have to be major changes to the debt/monetary orders to deal with the debt, trade, and capital imbalances problem,” he said on Wednesday, arguing that the Trump administration’s next move should be cutting the U.S. deficit to 3% of the nation’s GDP.

Dalio has long been warning about America’s mounting debt. At CNBC’s Converge Live last month, he said that the U.S. has a “very severe supply-demand problem” when it comes to debt, arguing that America had to “sell a quantity of debt that the world is not going to want to buy.”

The U.S. budget deficit surpassed $1 trillion earlier this year.

‘A great time’ for investors to rethink risk

Stocks on Wall Street surged on Wednesday after Trump delayed his reciprocal tariffs. His temporary reversal on the policy took place after a global sell off that rattled equity and bond markets across the globe.

Dalio, who founded Bridgewater Associates — one of the world’s biggest hedge funds — in 1975, also said in his social media post that Trump’s seesawing trade policy presented investors with an opportunity to rethink their appetite for risk.  

“This is a great time for investors who were shocked and terrified by what happened (and what might happen) to reconsider their approaches to structuring their portfolios so they don’t have such intolerable risks,” he said.

“I can guarantee that another worse case of the market moves that terrified them will come along eventually.”
 

l
lionhill
A great time’ for investors to rethink risk
P
Pilot007
是习主席搞砸了,动作太早,以为其它国家也会跟随,结果事与愿违,现在只能靠中国老百姓的忍来博弈了
l
lionhill
你以为让步就能换来好结果delusional,美国百姓就不承担通账的苦果?
w
whaled
同意中国应该刺激内需提振经济。现在有经济基础,就不需要过分依赖出口
l
lionhill
中国经济压力巨大,过去二十年靠“城市化”和“成为世界工厂”两大引擎推动经济增长的动力面临前所未有的挑战。
P
Pilot007
一个享受价高,一个享受失业倒闭没收入。不过都是暂时的,慢慢就会再平衡的
P
Pilot007
要让老百姓消费,必需给他们保障,养老问题,医疗问题,还有别动不动就把他们管制起来。没有这些保障,光喊口号没用
P
Pilot007
必需有朱镕基这样的总理,有能力,有魄力,有眼光,来进行彻底转型。
w
whaled
老共要让利,自己才做的下去。现在太抠了,这样很危险。
n
nancyjin5391
老川谈成的都是Good Deals

The deals that only he wins twice "win-win" 

雨女
知己知彼,百战不殆。就是不谈。把他研究透了再说。

i
iMe
他一个小学生,能想出什么主意,要他谈真是为难他了
g
gccard
结论太早了吧,谁输谁赢己经定了?
英勇不屈张排长
他指方向是专业的,上百个领域指方向。但处理经济从来就没对过,从来…
庭卉
未来市场一定还会出现更严重的动荡 -- 投资人要做好准备
m
mean
+++