我不认为我们应该去责怪谁更乐观或更悲观……投资本来就应该同时考虑这两方面。盲目乐观或者盲目悲观都是不好的。

B
BrightLine
楼主 (文学城)

投资有长期的,也有短期的交易,你不能因为波动就惊慌失措,必须要有自己的策略。

麦粒
赞理性投资。学理工的人有本能上更注重事实和数字的优势
g
gladys
亮线总能把赚钱上升到哲学的高度:D
b
bogbog
我是股市一直涨会“悲观”, 股市跌了我乐观,

s
start2020
的确,看牛看熊都需要,掌舵在自己
B
BrightLine
You are doing well... lol..

I am still learning to become a pro.

b
bogbog
我好像对所有的大跌都无感。 我家那位说我无知无畏, 哈哈
s
suby
赞。如果做不到理性投资,就坚持定投吧。
w
whaled
我过去是完全定投。但现在宏观环境有变,即使是长期投资,策略上还是要有所对冲。
三心三意
I think it all comes down investment strategy

To keep buying when market goes down every 10%, 20%, or 30%, the pre-condition is that you must have asset that has not been invested on the sideline. So, if you are able to buy at much lower level, by definition, you are not full invested at this time. Otherwise, you wont be able to buy when market goes down.

It all comes down how much you allocate what percentage of asset at a point of time, and how to mitigate different risk, and most importantly, have a plan for both directions of the market.

99% of people here, based on what I observe, only has a plan for the direction he/she thinks market will go. But has no plan in place in case market goes against what he/she believes.

B
BrightLine
To be honest, I don't think I am gambling when buying option

still try to figure out how to become a pro... all about odds..

Long term/ short term/ little money to hope big game, etc.

三心三意
But if fully invested, hedge or adjust asset ratio is must
B
BrightLine
This is what I yet to learn.. I do think to buy call is good

decision, not gamble

b
bogbog
每星期都有工资,肯定一直有资金在一旁等候呀。 一直暴涨我肯定不会买个股的。 最多定投指数,

个股我就是要价格相对于价值较合理的时候才加仓或者买进。 不会追涨

三心三意
我不认为看空市场有什么错。我是说那些只“散布恐慌”,但没有任何实际投资策略的ID
M
MarkM76
亮线心态好,而且该出手的时候绝不手软。当然有强大的基金做后盾。哈哈
b
bogbog
短期way out of money option是真的在赌, 书上说的,我也不懂
B
BrightLine
I agree. We need to learn more even if we 定投

 hedge, option are all needed.

任静锅-
赞亮线! 不过呢,确实有几位ID对美国恶意满满的DWX

前几天蹦跶得欢的 

三心三意
Exactly。That is my point. 能够越低越买的肯定是没有fully invest
越王剑
哈哈,亮线同学今天挣三百万,心情大好啊

B
BrightLine
这是一个有根据的押注。考虑到我持有大量的 QQQ,这么做是为了在市场下行时保住我的资金,相当于是逢低加仓

同时买入 TQQQ 来摊低成本。

三心三意
如果放了几十米在市场上,还是要注意市场风险,并做出调整。这方面我和均线兄很一致
b
bogbog
其实不管什么时候,有没有新的收入,都不应该fully invest, 得有备用资金,要不然会很在意短期的涨跌,拿不住

好股

B
BrightLine
agreed.
桃花好运
亮线名副其实!
三心三意
亮线,it is very simple...

If Trump wait until 4/18 to make annoucement, you lose all your options, it goes to 0.

You can put $15K to try, but you will not be able to put 1米 to gamble

b
bogbog
还得分散投资,不单单是stocks, 投资房产,还可以投其他生意。 不能都放在股市里面
B
BrightLine
Agreed. Keep learning from you guys. lol

三心三意
即使有新的收入,我觉得也要看ratio。比如说40米的帐户,一年1米的新收入,这样的比例我还是会hedge40米的帐户
成功的兔
不一样,时间
B
BrightLine
Agreed. but 20K to me is nothing... buying QQQ has the same

risk if market goes down and I have to spend Millions on QQQ. 

三心三意
20% drawdown could mean 40米涨户掉12米
三心三意
Yes,all comes down to asset allocation, totally agree
B
BrightLine
比如说,我可能会买入 100 万的 QQQ 来赚取 10 万的收益,而在一个下跌的市场中,如果判断即将反弹,那么

那么用 2 万去押注就是一个不错的选择。

b
bogbog
嗯嗯。 不懂option hedge,对我来说太复杂了。 我就简单的分散投资,反正要做到股市归零,都不影响生活就可以。
B
BrightLine
Thanks! Just above water... way to go.

maybe tomorrow is under water again.

b
bogbog
既然有很多的QQQ正股,如果要反弹, 那已经有很多QQQ了也不会感到错过?下跌时候
B
BrightLine
I am DCA but using options so I don't have to use M$

b
bogbog
但是如果资产分散投资,不怕呀。再说又不是买的垃圾股,又没用margin, 迟早得回来。 而且均价低,不用担心的

就是少挣还是多挣钱而已。

三心三意
哈哈哈,能少掉12米里的60-70%,然后把这资金在市场低点放回去不好吗?
小松松
我昨天把你的贴子看了几遍。如果今天盯盘盯得紧点在那个10分钟窗口果断加仓就好了。
小松松
不愧是大户。有钱都是有道理的。
b
bogbog
那也得象您这样会time market的高手才行, 要我来弄,搞不好本来没亏搞成亏的。

三心三意
我可是专门提醒了1pm EST 3次啊:)
N
NewLeaf2021
最近一个家庭朋友就是,全是唠叨恐慌,却没有想法或办法。 烦人。