国债为什么掉

三心三意
楼主 (文学城)

1: Margin call so someone had to sell Bond to raise cash to cover stock loss

2: China and Japan selling bonds

3: Hedge fund "bond carry trade" and now have to unwind

4: Tariff introduce worry of inflation

5: Treasure Auction tomorrow so far has weak instituion demand and thus raise fears

Keep in mind, Bond market is much much much larger than stock market. So, there is a clear run for liquidity right now on the market. 

I think Wall Street is forcing Trump's hand. If Bond market collapse, so goes rest of the world.

桃花源里人家
这个解释比较合理
与庄共舞
大师提醒的好
K
KC28
Fed has plenty of ammunition and step in when necessary
K
KC28
Fed doesn't want to pay for the mistake Trump is making
O
Octobter
国债如过山车,糊里糊涂拿着4.5%的票息,川卫兵不至于把国债作废吧?
三心三意
You are fine, as long as you are not on margin
伯克希尔哈萨维
Spx要是能直接杀到4200就爽了,肯定有不少爆仓的
K
KC28
Maintain price stability takes priority over max employment

Per Fed's two mandates.  As such, once recession kicks in, Fed has plenty of room to reduce its rates (current at 4.33%) and launch QE

m
mobius
1,3 不太象, 一般基金没那么大账户吧
三心三意
LOL, there are trillion $$ at risk here :)
三心三意
Citadel could be wiped out if this is not addressed
m
mobius
要是能清零几个为富不仁的就太好了
丁丁在美洲
bond market和股市本来都是大概50T的规模,不过股市最近掉了差不多10个T

说bond market比股市大得多是好多年前的老黄历了

K
KC28
US dollar has strengthenedn against Chinese Yuan

Likely China is retaliating by selling bonds as selling bonds would weaken Yuan.  

m
mobius
怪不得有说法要救债市, 牺牲股市.
m
mobius
会不会资本外逃央行要稳住?
K
KC28
Foreign investment in China dropped about 90% from 2021 peak

It is harder and harder to move dollars outside China.  It is understandable China counterattacks.

m
mobius
转一个bond 大牛的分析:债卷市场有事,但应该不是中国干的。

B
BeLe
China FDI: Year 2021, $344B; Year 2024, $116B.

"n 2024, China's foreign direct investment (FDI) saw a significant decline, with actual utilized FDI falling by 27.1% to RMB 826.25 billion (US$115.56 billion). However, the number of newly established foreign-invested enterprises increased by 9.9% to 59,080. "

"China foreign direct investment for 2021 was $344.07B, a 35.95% increase from 2020. China foreign direct investment for 2020 was $253.10B, a 35.22% increase from 2019."