The White House’s new tariffs were pegged to amounts it said other countries impose on the U.S. In many cases, those amounts appear to match a basic formula: the size of a country’s goods-trade imbalance with the U.S., divided by how much America imports from that nation.
The chart President Trump read from in the Rose Garden listed tariffs charged on imports from the U.S. as “including currency manipulation and trade barriers.” The numbers don’t necessarily match what foreign countries charge against imports from the U.S.
For example, Chinese tariffs against the U.S. were about 23% overall as of last month, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
But dividing the U.S.’s 2024 goods-trade deficit with China, of about $295 billion, by the amount the U.S. imported from China results in the 67% tariff value presented by the White House.
$295bn ÷ $439bn=67%
The math works out that way for at least 71 of the 184 nations, plus the European Union, included in Wednesday’s announcement. In most of those cases, the U.S. is charging a new tariff of roughly half the rate it calculated.
The Journal followed calculations highlighted in postings on social media, including by journalist James Surowiecki, a former business columnist for the New Yorker.
For the remaining nations, including all those where the U.S. has a trade surplus, the tariff charged on imports from the U.S. was listed as 10%. In these instances, the U.S. set a 10% reciprocal tariff.
这次关税实际上是50%对等,川普威胁,谁敢对美国报复关税,立即对他实现100%对等关税。
对美低端产品出口国家,按次序排名:中国,墨西哥,印度,越南。
现在除了中国,其他三个国家,印度立即表示要配合川普的对等关税政策,越南已经宣布大幅降低对美国关税;墨西哥同意零关税并向中国征收25%关税。
这意味着,老百姓的基本生活需求不会受到冲击。
对高端产品国家,加拿大也同意零关税,估计正在敲定细节。以色列宣布对美零关税。中日韩会谈探讨是否能够彼此免关税。中国一如既往地抢先宣布中日韩合作对抗美国关税。日韩立即否定,解释只是要对冲美国关税,减少压力。这样做并不会对美国造成直接通胀压力,最多就是与日韩的进出口贸易减低一些。换句话说,日韩不会有报复关税,三国彼此间消化一些多余产能。
只有欧盟还坚持强硬的口气,没有做出松口的表态。估计过几天也会采取与美国协商的态度。真要硬来,美国的关税立即与他们对美国的数字持平,而不是目前的一半。
我相信,等这一轮50%对等关税对经济的冲击平稳下来,川普下一步绝对会实现真正的对等关税。老川这届内阁绝对不是省油的灯。
公平的说,美国曾经靠关税运营,不收个人所得税。那时的人幸福得一塌糊涂。就是谁花钱多谁交税多。有钱人愿意过穷人的日子,就与穷人交一样的税。这样,他的钱纯粹就是替社会保管,活跃经济的。
之所以会形成目前这种被全世界趴在自己身上吸血的局面,是因为美国太有情怀了,一战二战期间,美国为了支援欧洲及其他被侵略国家,不得不靠大幅度征收个人所得税来获得大批资金。同时又对这些国家大幅降低关税以帮助他们维持战时经济。
二战后,美国为了用马歇尔计划来恢复欧洲经济,又进一步征收更高的个人所得税来帮助欧洲,同时将自己的关税降为零,让其他国家可以靠美国市场获得利润。
结果这种零关税一直延续下来不取消了。而其他所有国家都对美国征收各种关税,或者非关税壁垒,就是换个名字。现在川普觉得应该恢复对等关系了,结果这帮寄生虫各种花样的满地打滚。最可笑的是,美国不白给武器不免费保护我就不值得信任了,美国不继续零关税我就要去和独裁国家结盟了。
所有这些都证明了川普做对了,这群丐帮根本不值得美国去帮。
把情怀留给民主党吧,川普给美国人带来财富和公平!
关税战已经成功一大半了 - 老财主说两句发表于 时事述评 - 论坛 | 文学城
啊哈哈哈。。。。。。。。。。。。
你说成功就是几条小鱼啊
你信哪一个,都是一样!一点也不迷惑!
啊哈哈哈。。。。。。。。。
伤人一千,自伤八百。what about inflation and recession?
啊哈哈哈。。。。。。。。。。。
WSJ:
The White House’s new tariffs were pegged to amounts it said other countries impose on the U.S. In many cases, those amounts appear to match a basic formula: the size of a country’s goods-trade imbalance with the U.S., divided by how much America imports from that nation.
The chart President Trump read from in the Rose Garden listed tariffs charged on imports from the U.S. as “including currency manipulation and trade barriers.” The numbers don’t necessarily match what foreign countries charge against imports from the U.S.
For example, Chinese tariffs against the U.S. were about 23% overall as of last month, according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
But dividing the U.S.’s 2024 goods-trade deficit with China, of about $295 billion, by the amount the U.S. imported from China results in the 67% tariff value presented by the White House.
$295bn ÷ $439bn=67%
The math works out that way for at least 71 of the 184 nations, plus the European Union, included in Wednesday’s announcement. In most of those cases, the U.S. is charging a new tariff of roughly half the rate it calculated.
The Journal followed calculations highlighted in postings on social media, including by journalist James Surowiecki, a former business columnist for the New Yorker.
For the remaining nations, including all those where the U.S. has a trade surplus, the tariff charged on imports from the U.S. was listed as 10%. In these instances, the U.S. set a 10% reciprocal tariff.
老川烦的是欧洲拿着美欧交易的顺差去补购买中国产品造成的逆差。
反击:欧洲可能会加大对美国服务和金融的收费,没有关税战他们也一直在变相这么干,还不如搞成明面上的。
中国,google meta 根本没进去,Amazon Microsoft 进了但被挤得差不多了,金融也没怎么放开,Apple 可能还可揪住打击一下。