涨价到底是否会导致通胀?看看经济学家的说法

加州阳光123
楼主 (文学城)

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cpi-report-february-inflation-what-it-means/

Inflation rate rose by 2.8% in February, CPI report shows. Here's what that means for price relief.

By Aimee Picchi

Edited By Anne Marie Lee

Updated on: March 12, 2025 / 8:37 PM EDT / CBS News

 

Inflation in February rose 2.8% on an annual basis, slightly lower than economists had forecast but continuing to signal that price hikes remain elevated despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to tame inflation to a 2% annual rate. 

By the numbers

The Consumer Price Index was forecast to rise 2.9% last month, according to economists polled by financial data firm FactSet. The CPI, a basket of goods and services typically bought by consumers, tracks the change in those prices over time. 

February's data comes after inflation accelerated in January, when it rose 3% on an annual basis . 

What economists say

The report shows "further signs of progress on underlying inflation, with the pace of price increases moderating after January's strong release," said Kay Haigh, global co-head of fixed income and liquidity solutions in Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

Despite the lower-than-expected inflation, the Federal Reserve is still likely to hold off on cutting rates at its March 19 meeting, Haigh noted. "[The] combination of easing inflationary pressures and rising downside risks to growth suggest that the Fed is moving closer to continuing its easing cycle," Haigh said.

Grocery prices are continuing to rise, with groceries increasing 2.6% in February from a year earlier, the CPI report said. The ongoing rise of food costs is creating a financial pinch for many households, economists note. 

Egg prices were a driver of last month's grocery inflation, with the cost of eggs jumping 58.8% from a year earlier, the report said. Coffee rose 6% on an annual basis, while restaurant meals jumped 3.7% from a year ago.

Food inflation has been "gradually accelerating since mid-2024, reaching almost 5% on a 3-month annualized basis" in January, according to Morgan Stanley economists in a March 6 research note. 

Other items that saw price hikes in February include car insurance, which rose 11.1% on an annual basis, and medical care, which rose 3% from a year ago.
Meanwhile, President Trump's tariff barrage has the potential to boost prices for many products, from food imports to automobiles, adding to an uncertain outlook for inflation, economists say. 

"Good news on inflation, but good news pre-tariffs," said Robert Frick, corporate economist with Navy Federal Credit Union. "Unfortunately, three main pain points for consumer budgets — shelter, medical care and car insurance — had substantial increases."

What it means for your money

Even though the inflation data came in lighter than expected, price increases are still pacing well above the Fed's 2% annual goal. Because of that, economists say it's unlikely the Fed will cut rates at its meeting next week. 

That means consumers and businesses will continue to face higher borrowing costs for longer, while still grappling with elevated price hikes, economists say.

"The Federal Reserve will remain firmly planted on the sidelines at next week's meeting," Bankrate Chief Financial Analyst Greg McBride said on Wednesday. "Inflation readings still need to show sustained progress toward 2%, and the recent economic uncertainty will make them ever more data-dependent in the coming weeks and months."

c
cfbingbuzy001
看对消费者的消费习惯的假设了.习惯不变,涨;慢慢改变习惯,渐渐趋于不变。现在的inflation还和过去两年涨工资有关
秋前
2.8%, lower than 2.9% forecast. Why with Tarrif increase?
秋前
... the inflation is lower? MAGA... LOL
辛民
还没到时候,现在的东西是以前屯的
加州阳光123
+1
加州阳光123
改变习惯不就是消费降级吗? 为了不承认通胀,而嘴上说少买点就能掩盖通胀的事实吗?经济学家都认为有通胀了,我们这里还硬要说

没通胀,这让经济学家们情何以堪?

未知
文章的意思是说,Fed会加速降息?对冲deflation?

通胀3.5%的时候,Fed都要降息,现在都下降到2.8%,而且趋势也在下降。有Fed Put, 股市跌不了多少。

最西边的岛上
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