大市反转的后市相似性及QQQ考古更新

牛经沧海
楼主 (文学城)

QQQ考古更新 08/23/2024

(0/1821 reads)2024-02-03 06:35:14

大市反转的后市相似性(更新08/23/2024)

(0/1510 reads)2024-01-30 12:09:45

很少有人关注的一次降息

B
BrightLine
好,就等QQQ创新高了,哈哈,重重仓

B
BrightLine
到时候气死福虎,哈哈
三心三意
QQQ/SPY 今年年底前创新高是85%的大概率事件
B
BrightLine
希望如此,哈哈,家当都在QQQ上了
L
LIZAR
那 1st rate cut之后还有一次上车机会
p
parentb
最近半年至一年传统股有可能跑赢科技股,但我不建议全仓传统股,而是30%传统股70%科技股。
三心三意
希望英伟达下周财报不要太好。否者QQQ 9 月就会创新高
三心三意
如果英伟达给出强力前瞻预估,将会一扫AI投资担忧。 希望不要如此
B
BrightLine
Why?不是好事?
三心三意
还是稳健上涨比较好,要不英伟达冲200真来个泡沬
L
LIZAR
谢谢。我有一点点TQQQ,想等着掉下去之后再加一点。减息之后?
三心三意
I think the best timing to buy TQQQ is closed for now

The current market is a bit risky to hold fresh new TQQQ. It may pull back and retest EM50 but who knows. If you aleady have sizable position in QQQ, may just want to hold those cash reserve and wait for opportunity. I would not jump in on new TQQQ position right now

大铁牛
刻舟求剑,24年的基本面和19年能比吗?
三心三意
还是看看WSJ的评论吧:)

“The Fed chief expressed confidence in the US economy’s ability to pull off a so-called soft landing, an extremely rare outcome in which inflation is tamed without a sharp rise in unemployment. Such an achievement has only happened once, in the mid-1990s “ —- WSJ

We all know what happened to NASDAQ from mid 1990s to 1999, lol

L
LIZAR
Thanks for sharing your thought! I will definitely wait for
风城芝加哥
这问题不太理解?

2019最高利率才大约2.45%,现在最高利率5.50%。如果经济稳定的话,利率下降对股市走向有相似性。但如果是2007年,利率从最高大约5.25%一路下降,还是有些大公司撑不住死在2008年降息的路上,经济危机爆发了,股市走向就没相似性了。

牛经沧海
势大于数
b
backwardation
买声一片呐,厉害!