今天与AI对话,非常神奇的经验!仅仅几个月,AI已经有跨越式的进步!

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parentb
楼主 (文学城)

刚才与AI对话,感觉AI已经不是什么忽悠我们的玩具了,是真正的人工智能!

以下是我与AI的对话:

Here is a list of stock symbols: SMH, SOXX, IYW, XLK, QQQ, IWY, SPY, SPYV, IWM, DIA, based on the past 3 year price history, would you be able to calculate a portfolio allocation model with optimum Sharpe ratio?

To calculate a portfolio allocation model with the optimum Sharpe ratio using the provided stock symbols and their past 3-year price history, you'll need to perform several steps. Below is a guide on how you can do this using Python and relevant libraries.

Step-by-Step Guide

Install Required Libraries: Ensure you have the necessary libraries installed:

sh pip install yfinance numpy pandas scipy

Import Libraries and Download Data: Import the required modules and download historical data for the given stock symbols using the yfinance library.

python import numpy as np import pandas as pd import yfinance as yf from scipy.optimize import minimize # Define the list of stock symbols tickers = ['SMH', 'SOXX', 'IYW', 'XLK', 'QQQ', 'IWY', 'SPY', 'SPYV', 'IWM', 'DIA'] # Download historical price data from Yahoo Finance data = yf.download(tickers, start="2021-06-01", end="2024-06-01")['Adj Close'] # Calculate daily returns returns = data.pct_change().dropna() # Calculate the mean returns and the covariance matrix mean_returns = returns.mean() cov_matrix = returns.cov() # Assuming a risk-free rate of 2% (0.02) risk_free_rate = 0.02 Open in:Code Editor Define Portfolio Performance and Optimization Functions: python # Function to calculate portfolio performance metrics def portfolio_performance(weights, mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate): returns = np.sum(mean_returns * weights) * 252 # Annualized return std = np.sqrt(np.dot(weights.T, np.dot(cov_matrix, weights))) * np.sqrt(252) # Annualized risk sharpe_ratio = (returns - risk_free_rate) / std return std, returns, sharpe_ratio # Function to minimize the negative Sharpe ratio def negative_sharpe_ratio(weights, mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate): return -portfolio_performance(weights, mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate)[2] # Optimization function to find the optimal portfolio allocation def optimize_portfolio(mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate): num_assets = len(mean_returns) args = (mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate) constraints = ({'type': 'eq', 'fun': lambda x: np.sum(x) - 1}) # Sum of weights must be 1 bounds = tuple((0.0, 1.0) for _ in range(num_assets)) # No short-selling, weights between 0 and 1 result = minimize(negative_sharpe_ratio, num_assets * [1. / num_assets,], args=args, method='SLSQP', bounds=bounds, constraints=constraints) return result Open in:Code Editor Run Optimization and Display Results: python # Optimize the portfolio opt_results = optimize_portfolio(mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate) opt_weights = opt_results.x # Calculate portfolio performance metrics for the optimized weights opt_std, opt_return, opt_sharpe = portfolio_performance(opt_weights, mean_returns, cov_matrix, risk_free_rate) # Display the results print("Optimized Portfolio Weights:") for ticker, weight in zip(tickers, opt_weights): print(f"{ticker}: {weight:.4f}") print(f"\nAnnualized Return: {opt_return:.2f}") print(f"Annualized Volatility: {opt_std:.2f}") print(f"Sharpe Ratio: {opt_sharpe:.2f}") Open in:Code Editor Interpretation of Results

The output will show the optimal weights for each stock symbol, the annualized return, annualized volatility, and the Sharpe ratio for the optimized portfolio. Here is an example of what the output might look like:

text Optimized Portfolio Weights: SMH: 0.1000 SOXX: 0.2000 IYW: 0.1500 XLK: 0.0500 QQQ: 0.1000 IWY: 0.1000 SPY: 0.2000 SPYV: 0.0500 IWM: 0.0500 DIA: 0.0000 Annualized Return: 0.18 Annualized Volatility: 0.12 Sharpe Ratio: 1.33 Notes Risk-Free Rate: The risk-free rate in this example is assumed to be 2%. Adjust it according to current market conditions or use a historical average. Data Frequency: This example uses daily returns. You can modify it to use weekly or monthly returns as needed.

太厉害了!

去年ChatGPT刚出来时,我也问了这些问题,没有得到满意的回答。才几个月,AI的回答近乎完美!

AI给出了答案:计算出投资分配的最佳组合百分比,Python的程序,一年回报百分比,风险百分比,Sharpe值!

我们还需要理财顾问吗?

我们还需要程序员吗?

看来Jasen Huang不是在瞎吹,真的,很多工作不久就会被AI取代了。

 

2
2008VGirl
version几?
p
parentb
ChatGPT 4.0
2
2008VGirl
是要付钱的版本?
p
parentb
有个叫Merlin的插件
p
parentb
估计病理科医生也会很快被淘汰了吧
2
2008VGirl
谢谢
2
2008VGirl
chatgpt刚出来的时候我就说过,一些码工会被替代,一些家庭医生会被替代。
叮咚
读病理切片的,读放射片的应该会很快被取代。内科医生估计也快了

要论诊断的精确缜密严谨细致,人脑比不上机器。动手的外科医生还好,可以继续高薪

p
parentb
以后人类怎么生存?人人去搞AI?世界正在发生翻天覆地的变化啊!
B
BrightLine
太牛了,以后矿工应该也会失业了,哈哈
高山峻岭流水人家
我们家有几个学医的,我对他们的前途有点担忧。Al太牛了。

学医要尽量向动手的方向靠拢!

叮咚
科幻片里的一切都在慢慢成为现实。人类可能最终是要走向灭亡的,富人移居火星。不过我们和我们的下一代还看不到。所以

该干嘛干嘛,过好每一天,enjoy the moment 

高山峻岭流水人家
矿工用的是秘密代码,Al找不到。
2
2008VGirl
医生最好自己也学点,尽早把AI当作辅助工具使用。
高山峻岭流水人家
医生的需求会大幅降低。
不允许的笔名
病人可以直接和AI谈话,要医生这个中介干什么?
青裁
AI无处方权
B
BrightLine
只能投资当股东了,当工人不够格,哈哈
老朽
房价还会涨,Al可以取代很多东西,唯独不能取代人住在房子里。
g
gccard
AI可以设计房子,降低成本
福虎
当许多人不需要工作挣钱的时候,房子应该是免费分配了吧
老朽
设计只有很小部分,人想住的越来越宽敞,质量档次越来越好,光设计有什么用?
2
2008VGirl
不是所有病人都像我们这样聪明接受过好的教育,也就是说他们不一定知道如何和ai交流
2
2008VGirl
不仅设计房子,ai也能盖房子,会快很多。人型机器人会灵活很多,可以从一个地方move到另一个地方去工作。
j
jessielxh
以后大部分工作都没了。以前科技进步杀的是低端劳动密集型,现在通杀!我们就躺平了吧,等着全民收入
j
jessielxh
房东们可能是卖房的时候到了
麻你
现在有很多医院心电图都是由AI来读,医生只看AI认为是异常的,AI认为正常的医生就不用看了,直接发正常报告
5
5181
不会ai还没这么灵光.很多年前就说麻醉医生会被代替结果麻醉医生收入越来越高.
j
julie116
人住街上。云存储服务器住房子里(噪音极大)。
j
julie116
到那会估计留些献血献器官的就够了……
老朽
你当是共产主义呢?
老朽
你们根本都忽略了土地不可再生性,除非住火星上,有这个可能,这辈子肯定见不到。
老朽
Al再牛逼靠计算也搞不出一寸土地。
j
jessielxh
看什么地方的土地。如果AI横行,大部分人不工作或者移动工作。住远郊没有问题。估计湖景海景的地会好
玻璃坊
发达国家人口在减少;如果不算非移的话,美国人口也在下降

非移生孩子多

b
bayuquan
请教怎样用这个插件?可以在ipad上安装吗?谢谢!
拍浪
房价会降

人口减少