The war studies visiting fellow at King's College London says: "Basically the Russians are gonna run out of troops, and the Ukrainians are going to counterattack."
The Russians have squandered their one chance to take the region, he believes.
"They pulled all of these mauled units out of Kyiv, and then tried to reconstitute them for combat in the east," he explains.
But they were "bruised and damaged" by the battle for the Ukrainian capital and Russia failed to build them up and "do some bold manoeuvre".
And Martin says there has been a "major strategic shift" in the war, with the UK declaring its aim is to clear Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea.
He adds that UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is "wrong", however, to say this would take 10 years, insisting: "Russian forces will collapse before that, and we’ll see a coup."
And with the US announcing US$33bn (£26bn) of funding for Ukraine, "that is an extremely clear signal of intent", says Martin.
It also means Nato and the US have decided Vladimir Putin is bluffing about using nuclear weapons if Nato up the ante, he adds.
如果准确的话，那么重新夺回 Ruska Lozova 对乌克兰来说是一个重大进展，将俄罗斯军队进一步推向自己的边界并重新夺回从别尔哥罗德到哈尔科夫的主要道路
If accurate, then Ukraine re-taking Ruska Lozova is a significant advance for them, pushing Russian forces further back towards their own border and regaining the main road from Belgorod to Kharkiv
俄罗斯军队将在几周内溃败
军事专家迈克·马丁博士说，俄罗斯对顿巴斯的进攻“有点失败”，该地区的战斗将在两到四个星期内结束。
这位在伦敦国王学院做战争研究的访问专家说：“基本上俄罗斯人将耗尽军队，而乌克兰人将反击。”
他认为，俄罗斯人已经失去了占领该地区的机会。
他解释说：“他们将所有这些遭受重创的部队撤出基辅，然后试图重组它们以在东部作战。”
但他们在乌克兰首都的战斗中“伤痕累累”，但是俄罗斯重组这些军队并“采取一些大胆的行动”。
马丁说，战争发生了“重大战略转变”，英国宣布其目标是从包括克里米亚在内的乌克兰清除俄罗斯军队。
然而他补充说，英国外交大臣利兹特拉斯是“错误的”，说这需要 10 年，并坚称：“在此之前，俄罗斯军队将崩溃，我们将看到一场政变。”
马丁说，随着美国宣布为乌克兰提供 330 亿美元（260 亿英镑）的资金，“这是一个非常明确的意图信号”。
他补充说，这也意味着北约和美国已经决定，如果北约加大赌注，弗拉基米尔·普京就只能虚张声势（声称使用核武器）。
Russian forces will collapse in weeks, predicts military expert
Russia's assault on Donbas has "sort of fizzled" and the battle for the region will be over in two to four weeks, says military expert Dr Mike Martin.
The war studies visiting fellow at King's College London says: "Basically the Russians are gonna run out of troops, and the Ukrainians are going to counterattack."
The Russians have squandered their one chance to take the region, he believes.
"They pulled all of these mauled units out of Kyiv, and then tried to reconstitute them for combat in the east," he explains.
But they were "bruised and damaged" by the battle for the Ukrainian capital and Russia failed to build them up and "do some bold manoeuvre".
And Martin says there has been a "major strategic shift" in the war, with the UK declaring its aim is to clear Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea.
He adds that UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is "wrong", however, to say this would take 10 years, insisting: "Russian forces will collapse before that, and we’ll see a coup."
And with the US announcing US$33bn (£26bn) of funding for Ukraine, "that is an extremely clear signal of intent", says Martin.
It also means Nato and the US have decided Vladimir Putin is bluffing about using nuclear weapons if Nato up the ante, he adds.
如果准确的话，那么重新夺回 Ruska Lozova 对乌克兰来说是一个重大进展，将俄罗斯军队进一步推向自己的边界并重新夺回从别尔哥罗德到哈尔科夫的主要道路
If accurate, then Ukraine re-taking Ruska Lozova is a significant advance for them, pushing Russian forces further back towards their own border and regaining the main road from Belgorod to Kharkiv
https://mobile.twitter.com/BBCDanielS/status/1520064646190936064
随着东部地区的激烈战斗仍在继续，一名乌克兰总统顾问承认乌克兰损失惨重，但俄罗斯的情况更糟。
Oleksiy Arestovych 说，乌克兰失去了对一些城镇和村庄的控制——但声称俄罗斯自己的伤亡是“巨大的”。
根据UNIAN通讯社引述的言论，阿列斯托维奇说，俄罗斯每天都在损失一个连的部队。
他说乌克兰士兵正在继续进行成功的防御行动。
BBC不能验证真伪。
As heavy fighting continues in the east, a Ukrainian presidential adviser has acknowledged serious losses - but said Russia's were even worse.
Oleksiy Arestovych said Ukraine had lost control of some towns and villages - but claimed Russia's own casualties had been "colossal".
Arestovych said Russia was losing a company of troops every day, according to remarks quoted by the UNIAN news agency.
He said his soldiers were continuing to conduct a successful defensive operation.
It was not possible to independently verify the claims.
军队的坚忍抵抗谁都看见了，西方的援助支撑了这种抵抗也是有目共睹的，但是说乌克兰人就此摧毁俄国军队显然是一种愿望。谈到俄国会发生“政变”是把1917来类比现实，基础是什么？
现在我觉得俄罗斯在围乌东的十万乌军主力（消灭有生力量）更符合俄罗斯的战术。主要轰炸的地方都是乌东和东南的战线。
刚看到俄军已经撤离其在克尔松西面的Halytsynove村固守阵地了。
• 俄军血洗基辅？？？戏完了吗？那么多平民在里面，怎么洗？不是等平民撤离吗？ -风隐-
(539 bytes) (8 reads) 03/31/2022 postreply 18:27:38
• 所以你“俄军血洗基辅”的预言是成立的，只是把“再过几天”改成“再过几个世纪”了 -玻璃坊-
(195 bytes) (5 reads) 04/01/2022 postreply 10:10:41
• 俄罗斯又在基辅附近集结了，你才高兴24个小时，哈哈哈 -风隐-
(0 bytes) (1 reads) 04/01/2022 postreply 12:16:44
• 又要“血洗”了？您变的比普帝还快 -玻璃坊-
(3310 bytes) (3 reads) 04/01/2022 postreply 13:45:30
而且给养线太长，装备陈旧，士气低落
当然越军和塔利班这种可能会化整为零在后方袭扰。
• 英军事专家：顿巴斯的俄罗斯军队将在几周内溃败 - 玻璃坊 -
(7020 bytes) (2768 reads) 04/29/2022 10:09:06