看看正经分析吧。。。BBC:乌军主力在东部马上被合围;而且快没弹药了,援助很难过来。。。

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hhill123
楼主 (文学峸)

the BBC has spoken to an expert who says there are two significant challenges facing Ukraine's army in the coming days, despite its forces doing well to slow Russian advances.

Nick Reynolds, research analyst in land warfare at the RUSI think tank, says Ukraine must prevent both scenarios - while continuing to defend the country's cities from Russian attack.

Firstly, there is a risk of Russian troops moving up from the south and making contact with their compatriot forces from the north.

If the two fronts combine into one it would isolate the large number of Ukrainian troops stationed along the line of conflict in Donetsk and Luhansk - where they have been concentrated since 2014.

"Right now Russian progress from the south is slow. But a major reason for those operations is so they can cut off the JFO [Joint Forces Operation area in eastern Ukraine]. It would isolate a significant proportion of the Ukrainian army".

Secondly, Reynolds says Ukraine's military could also be close to exhausting its munition supplies.

"Stocks by their own estimate at the start of the war were to last ten days of fighting. They'll likely be running short fairly soon."

It's difficult to predict what supplies are left seven days in, but given the intensity of the fighting Reynolds predicts Ukraine will not be able to last much longer without fresh air-defence ammunition and artillery shell supplies.

Military aid being transported into Ukraine is having to travel by land after crossing into the country, meaning a slow journey over long distances.

"At the point where Ukrainian forces can't get those types of munitions, they will be at a severe disadvantage even more so than they are now," Reynolds says.

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hhill123
马里乌波尔已经被围死了,里面亚述营的新纳粹杂碎就等着被轰成碎片吧
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hhill123
利沃夫距马里乌波尔1200公里,哈尔科夫1000公里,中间有第聂伯河,全程在俄空军打击范围,所谓援助就是说说而已
过客文
乌克兰军队现在要回撤有困难,一是没有安全的天空,二是西边能够派出的接应是不是够力。那些什么国际志愿兵只能守土,

有强度的野战不能指望。还好俄军进军速度比1941年古德里安和克莱斯特两个装甲集群包围基辅的速度慢,现在乌克兰的东部部队还有空隙撤退,如果判定被围以后的后果严重,那就应该不惜代价救一部分部队出来。

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Northstar_V8
不好说,没准毛子经济先崩溃了
勿来三
西方媒体天天编造俄军缺油的假新闻

 

就凭一辆坦克等着加油的视频,就编造俄军缺油。  如果士兵到了中午等着开饭,是不是就是缺粮食?

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Northstar_V8
毛子不一定缺油,但一定缺钱
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Tendy
感到北约的志愿空军已经到了生死关头, 再不出动就等于让乌军投降, 投降了还有什么谈判可言啊?

这个拜登要好好想想, 当然就算是乌军主力完了, 这个仗在乌西还是可以继续打下去的。只要有足够的军援。

我觉的美欧有点呆, 毛子要真要扔蛋, 还怕找不到理由? 他现在根本不把世界各国放在眼里, 他可以说“ 你再敢援乌, 我就扔蛋” 你怎么办? 停下来不援了?

勿来三
有油就可以有钱,现在油那么昂贵

自己用油也不要钱

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hkzs
乌军绝不会投降,不要做梦了。

俄军也没能真正包围乌军重兵集团。

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thrawn
差不多也是我看到的。只要南上的俄军打下马里乌波尔就基本合围了乌克兰在东部的主力。泽连斯基最后可能命令乌军投降避免全灭