THE MORNING JOLT WORLD Why Russia, China, and Iran Are All Screwed by the Pandemic By JIM GERAGHTY July 9, 2021 9:54 AM
Over in Beijing . . .
Meanwhile, over in China, the government insists that since the start of the pandemic in Wuhan*, the country of more than a billion people has suffered fewer cases of infection than Ghana, Finland, Montenegro, Namibia, Uzbekistan, or Estonia. China also insists that its deaths from COVID-19 are fewer than those of Costa Rica, Azerbaijan, Ireland, and North Macedonia. In fact, China contends that its 4,636 deaths are less than half the death total in the borough of Queens, N.Y.
Our World in Data does not include China in its statistics. The New York Times, in an extensive review comparing excess deaths to official statistics, did not include China. The Economist, in a similar extensive review comparing excess deaths to official statistics, did not include China.
There is a widespread recognition that China’s official statistics are nonsense; on April 14, 2020, the country “adjusted” the figures to account for more than 1,200 deaths, and the chart has remained flat since.
THE MORNING JOLT Get Jim Geraghty’s tour of the political news of the day.
Email Address But The Economist did find some data hinting at the extent of the undercount in Wuhan, at least in the first three months of 2020:
An article published by the British Medical Journal (BMJ) on February 24th offers some clues on the extent of the underreporting. The authors, affiliated with China’s Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, have access to all-cause mortality data from the country’s national disease- surveillance system and other, less detailed, sources. Using information from January 1st 2020 to March 31st 2020, they found that Wuhan registered 5,954 more deaths when compared with the same period in 2019. They also found that deaths from covid-19 and other pneumonia-like illnesses in the rest of Hubei province, where Wuhan is located, were higher than usual (although overall deaths in the province were not higher than in 2019). In the rest of China, meanwhile, mortality was at lower levels than a year earlier.
The authors did not respond to The Economist’s requests to share their data. However, a table in the article’s appendix allowed us to reconstruct some of their weekly figures for excess mortality and compare it with official covid-19 deaths. The data suggest that total excess deaths in Wuhan between January 1st 2020 and March 31st 2020 numbered 13,400. That is more than triple the official count, and more than double the estimate in the BMJ paper. There were no excess-death statistics for the period from April 2020 onwards.
Separately, in February of this year, Radio Free Asia reported that “data released by the civil affairs department in the central province of Hubei, where the coronavirus pandemic first emerged in December 2019, showed that around 150,000 names had ‘disappeared’ from the list of recipients in the first three months of 2020, as COVID-19 tore through the provincial capital Wuhan and surrounding areas, sparking a provincial lockdown.” This suggests that, as in Russia, at minimum, tens of thousands of COVID-19 deaths are being attributed to other causes.
这篇文章基本就是美国自由媒体八股文。
貌似公正， 居然提供了反驳的证据。然后肆意歪曲， 认为美国人又蠢又好骗。
引用的经济学人的文章里， 一边说武汉市三个月了多死了近6000人， 一边承认整个湖北， 整个中国的死亡率反而降低了。
接种引用美国政府电台和轮子的数据， 150，000名字失踪了。 什么“名字”没提，
也没提过任何比较数据。
不影响结论就是中国成千上万人死于新冠。
THE MORNING JOLT
WORLD
Why Russia, China, and Iran Are All Screwed by the Pandemic
By JIM GERAGHTY
July 9, 2021 9:54 AM
Over in Beijing . . .
Meanwhile, over in China, the government insists that since the start of the pandemic in Wuhan*, the country of more than a billion people has suffered fewer cases of infection than Ghana, Finland, Montenegro, Namibia,
Uzbekistan, or Estonia. China also insists that its deaths from COVID-19 are fewer than those of Costa Rica, Azerbaijan, Ireland, and North Macedonia.
In fact, China contends that its 4,636 deaths are less than half the death
total in the borough of Queens, N.Y.
Our World in Data does not include China in its statistics. The New York
Times, in an extensive review comparing excess deaths to official statistics, did not include China. The Economist, in a similar extensive review
comparing excess deaths to official statistics, did not include China.
There is a widespread recognition that China’s official statistics are
nonsense; on April 14, 2020, the country “adjusted” the figures to account for more than 1,200 deaths, and the chart has remained flat since.
THE MORNING JOLT
Get Jim Geraghty’s tour of the political news of the day.
Email Address
But The Economist did find some data hinting at the extent of the undercount in Wuhan, at least in the first three months of 2020:
An article published by the British Medical Journal (BMJ) on February 24th
offers some clues on the extent of the underreporting. The authors,
affiliated with China’s Centre for Disease Control and Prevention, have
access to all-cause mortality data from the country’s national disease-
surveillance system and other, less detailed, sources. Using information
from January 1st 2020 to March 31st 2020, they found that Wuhan registered 5,954 more deaths when compared with the same period in 2019. They also found that deaths from covid-19 and other pneumonia-like illnesses in the rest of Hubei province, where Wuhan is located, were higher than usual (although
overall deaths in the province were not higher than in 2019). In the rest of China, meanwhile, mortality was at lower levels than a year earlier.
The authors did not respond to The Economist’s requests to share their data. However, a table in the article’s appendix allowed us to reconstruct some of their weekly figures for excess mortality and compare it with official
covid-19 deaths. The data suggest that total excess deaths in Wuhan between January 1st 2020 and March 31st 2020 numbered 13,400. That is more than
triple the official count, and more than double the estimate in the BMJ
paper. There were no excess-death statistics for the period from April 2020 onwards.
Separately, in February of this year, Radio Free Asia reported that “data
released by the civil affairs department in the central province of Hubei,
where the coronavirus pandemic first emerged in December 2019, showed that
around 150,000 names had ‘disappeared’ from the list of recipients in the first three months of 2020, as COVID-19 tore through the provincial capital Wuhan and surrounding areas, sparking a provincial lockdown.” This suggests that, as in Russia, at minimum, tens of thousands of COVID-19 deaths are
being attributed to other causes.
美眉还可以再写一篇文章， 中国估计有成千上万的人死于塌楼。于是美国人有高兴了
，高呼： USA,USA
CNN 说的 ？
完全可能。
美帝这个逼样 有脸说中国？
【 在 civic2002 (chase) 的大作中提到: 】
: 这篇文章基本就是美国自由媒体八股文。
: 貌似公正， 居然提供了反驳的证据。然后肆意歪曲， 认为美国人又蠢又好骗。
: 引用的经济学人的文章里， 一边说武汉市三个月了多死了近6000人， 一边承认整个湖
: 北， 整个中国的死亡率反而降低了。
: 接种引用美国政府电台和轮子的数据， 150，000名字失踪了。 什么“名字”没提，
: 也没提过任何比较数据。
: 不影响结论就是中国成千上万人死于新冠。
: THE MORNING JOLT
: WORLD
: Why Russia, China, and Iran Are All Screwed by the Pandemic
: ...................
我鳖笑笑走开，你喜欢就好