The Final Showdown Between China and the U.S.: The Battlefield Shifts from Military Hegemony to Global Currency Warfare** As the clock struck 3 a.m. on Wall Street, Switzerland’s banking clearing system suddenly flashed a red alert—China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS 2.0), powered by the digital yuan, went live simultaneously across 16 ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries. The first transaction, a 120 million yuan ($16.5 million) payment for auto parts, cleared from Shenzhen to Kuala Lumpur in 7.2 seconds. This speed, faster than a blink, rendered SWIFT’s three-day processing cycle a relic of the "Stone Age." The global financial world finally awoke: a bloodless currency war, armed with blockchain scalpels, had sliced open the veins of dollar hegemony. **Behind the Blitzkrieg: What 7 Seconds Upended Beyond Speed** The digital yuan’s "financial blitzkrieg" struck three fatal weaknesses of the dollar system: 1. **Cost Annihilation**: A cross-border e-commerce company’s ledger revealed that a $100,000 payment to a Thai supplier via SWIFT incurred $4,950 in fees (4.95%) and took 72 hours. Using CIPS 2.0, it cost $0.12 in network fees and settled instantly. This shift from "toll roads to data plans" slashed annual global trade settlement costs—worth $30 trillion—by over 90%. 2. **Technological Supremacy**: In tests by Singapore’s DBS Bank, the digital yuan’s *dual offline payment* function completed transactions without internet, while SWIFT’s VISA/Mastercard systems collapsed. More revolutionary was *smart contract technology*: when Malaysian palm oil arrived at Tianjin Port, the system auto-released payment, eliminating document fraud plaguing traditional trade. 3. **Security Revolution**: The UAE Central Bank showcased a money laundering case where the digital yuan’s blockchain ledger tracked every cent. A syndicate’s attempt to launder funds through 16 layered accounts was intercepted by AI risk controls in 0.3 seconds. In contrast, 85% of SWIFT’s cross-border money laundering cases require manual tracing, averaging 47 days. **De-Dollarization Tsunami: 16 Nations Pivot** This financial infrastructure revolution is triggering a chain reaction: - **ASEAN** announced that 90% of intraregional trade will settle in digital yuan by 2025, with Indonesia adding the yuan to its core forex reserves. - **Saudi Aramco’s** crude oil contract with Sinopec now prices 65% in digital yuan, cutting settlement from T+5 to T+0. - The **City of London** rushed to launch a "digital pound accelerator," but Bank of England officials admitted: "We’re at least 2.3 years behind China." **Twilight of Hegemony: SWIFT’s Last Stand** Facing this tech gap, the dollar system’s counterattacks falter. When the U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions, Malaysia’s central bank retorted: "We refuse to launder money for Afghan opium traffickers anymore." SWIFT’s data shows 23% of suspicious transactions flow to "unknown" entities. Worse, China controls 78% of global rare earth refining and 85% of neodymium magnet production—critical for blockchain miners. This "resource-tech duopoly" fortifies the digital yuan’s defenses. **Endgame: When Financial Infrastructure Becomes the New Nuke** This revolution aims to democratize finance through technology. As cross-border payments shift from "exclusive couriers for elites" to "instant messaging for all," the dollar’s "monopoly rent from settlement systems" will vanish. Nobel economist Stiglitz noted: "The digital yuan isn’t replacing the dollar—it’s redefining the dimensions of monetary civilization." **Final Thought:** When 7-second settlements become routine, and blockchain ledgers replace bank credit, how will global currency dynamics mutate? Will this "financial blitzkrieg" accelerate a multipolar monetary system, or provoke a desperate counterstrike from traditional powers? Share your predictions in the comments. --- *Chen Chen’s Insight, Baidu Dynamics*
daremighty 发表于 2025-04-21 14:21 The Final Showdown Between China and the U.S.: The Battlefield Shifts from Military Hegemony to Global Currency Warfare** As the clock struck 3 a.m. on Wall Street, Switzerland’s banking clearing system suddenly flashed a red alert—China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS 2.0), powered by the digital yuan, went live simultaneously across 16 ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries. The first transaction, a 120 million yuan ($16.5 million) payment for auto parts, cleared from Shenzhen to Kuala Lumpur in 7.2 seconds. This speed, faster than a blink, rendered SWIFT’s three-day processing cycle a relic of the "Stone Age." The global financial world finally awoke: a bloodless currency war, armed with blockchain scalpels, had sliced open the veins of dollar hegemony. **Behind the Blitzkrieg: What 7 Seconds Upended Beyond Speed** The digital yuan’s "financial blitzkrieg" struck three fatal weaknesses of the dollar system: 1. **Cost Annihilation**: A cross-border e-commerce company’s ledger revealed that a $100,000 payment to a Thai supplier via SWIFT incurred $4,950 in fees (4.95%) and took 72 hours. Using CIPS 2.0, it cost $0.12 in network fees and settled instantly. This shift from "toll roads to data plans" slashed annual global trade settlement costs—worth $30 trillion—by over 90%. 2. **Technological Supremacy**: In tests by Singapore’s DBS Bank, the digital yuan’s *dual offline payment* function completed transactions without internet, while SWIFT’s VISA/Mastercard systems collapsed. More revolutionary was *smart contract technology*: when Malaysian palm oil arrived at Tianjin Port, the system auto-released payment, eliminating document fraud plaguing traditional trade. 3. **Security Revolution**: The UAE Central Bank showcased a money laundering case where the digital yuan’s blockchain ledger tracked every cent. A syndicate’s attempt to launder funds through 16 layered accounts was intercepted by AI risk controls in 0.3 seconds. In contrast, 85% of SWIFT’s cross-border money laundering cases require manual tracing, averaging 47 days. **De-Dollarization Tsunami: 16 Nations Pivot** This financial infrastructure revolution is triggering a chain reaction: - **ASEAN** announced that 90% of intraregional trade will settle in digital yuan by 2025, with Indonesia adding the yuan to its core forex reserves. - **Saudi Aramco’s** crude oil contract with Sinopec now prices 65% in digital yuan, cutting settlement from T+5 to T+0. - The **City of London** rushed to launch a "digital pound accelerator," but Bank of England officials admitted: "We’re at least 2.3 years behind China." **Twilight of Hegemony: SWIFT’s Last Stand** Facing this tech gap, the dollar system’s counterattacks falter. When the U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions, Malaysia’s central bank retorted: "We refuse to launder money for Afghan opium traffickers anymore." SWIFT’s data shows 23% of suspicious transactions flow to "unknown" entities. Worse, China controls 78% of global rare earth refining and 85% of neodymium magnet production—critical for blockchain miners. This "resource-tech duopoly" fortifies the digital yuan’s defenses. **Endgame: When Financial Infrastructure Becomes the New Nuke** This revolution aims to democratize finance through technology. As cross-border payments shift from "exclusive couriers for elites" to "instant messaging for all," the dollar’s "monopoly rent from settlement systems" will vanish. Nobel economist Stiglitz noted: "The digital yuan isn’t replacing the dollar—it’s redefining the dimensions of monetary civilization." **Final Thought:** When 7-second settlements become routine, and blockchain ledgers replace bank credit, how will global currency dynamics mutate? Will this "financial blitzkrieg" accelerate a multipolar monetary system, or provoke a desperate counterstrike from traditional powers? Share your predictions in the comments. --- *Chen Chen’s Insight, Baidu Dynamics*
转网上搜的结果： " CIPS and SWIFT are both crucial for international financial transactions, but they serve different purposes. CIPS is a Chinese cross-border interbank payment system that facilitates yuan payments, while SWIFT is a global messaging network used by financial institutions worldwide. CIPS and SWIFT are not alternatives to each other; rather, they are complementary systems. Here's a more detailed breakdown: SWIFT: Primarily a messaging network that enables banks to send financial instructions and information securely. It doesn't handle payments or settlements directly. CIPS: A payment system that provides clearing and settlement services for cross-border renminbi (RMB) transactions. It's designed to facilitate the internationalization of the yuan and offers an alternative to the U.S. dollar-dominated global payments system. How they interact: CIPS uses SWIFT for cross-border messaging, especially for indirect participants who use SWIFT to send instructions to their members. CIPS is also working on developing its own messaging system to reduce reliance on SWIFT. The partnership between CIPS and SWIFT aims to enhance the efficiency and reliability of cross-border RMB transactions. "
daremighty 发表于 2025-04-21 14:21 The Final Showdown Between China and the U.S.: The Battlefield Shifts from Military Hegemony to Global Currency Warfare** As the clock struck 3 a.m. on Wall Street, Switzerland’s banking clearing system suddenly flashed a red alert—China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS 2.0), powered by the digital yuan, went live simultaneously across 16 ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries. The first transaction, a 120 million yuan ($16.5 million) payment for auto parts, cleared from Shenzhen to Kuala Lumpur in 7.2 seconds. This speed, faster than a blink, rendered SWIFT’s three-day processing cycle a relic of the "Stone Age." The global financial world finally awoke: a bloodless currency war, armed with blockchain scalpels, had sliced open the veins of dollar hegemony. **Behind the Blitzkrieg: What 7 Seconds Upended Beyond Speed** The digital yuan’s "financial blitzkrieg" struck three fatal weaknesses of the dollar system: 1. **Cost Annihilation**: A cross-border e-commerce company’s ledger revealed that a $100,000 payment to a Thai supplier via SWIFT incurred $4,950 in fees (4.95%) and took 72 hours. Using CIPS 2.0, it cost $0.12 in network fees and settled instantly. This shift from "toll roads to data plans" slashed annual global trade settlement costs—worth $30 trillion—by over 90%. 2. **Technological Supremacy**: In tests by Singapore’s DBS Bank, the digital yuan’s *dual offline payment* function completed transactions without internet, while SWIFT’s VISA/Mastercard systems collapsed. More revolutionary was *smart contract technology*: when Malaysian palm oil arrived at Tianjin Port, the system auto-released payment, eliminating document fraud plaguing traditional trade. 3. **Security Revolution**: The UAE Central Bank showcased a money laundering case where the digital yuan’s blockchain ledger tracked every cent. A syndicate’s attempt to launder funds through 16 layered accounts was intercepted by AI risk controls in 0.3 seconds. In contrast, 85% of SWIFT’s cross-border money laundering cases require manual tracing, averaging 47 days. **De-Dollarization Tsunami: 16 Nations Pivot** This financial infrastructure revolution is triggering a chain reaction: - **ASEAN** announced that 90% of intraregional trade will settle in digital yuan by 2025, with Indonesia adding the yuan to its core forex reserves. - **Saudi Aramco’s** crude oil contract with Sinopec now prices 65% in digital yuan, cutting settlement from T+5 to T+0. - The **City of London** rushed to launch a "digital pound accelerator," but Bank of England officials admitted: "We’re at least 2.3 years behind China." **Twilight of Hegemony: SWIFT’s Last Stand** Facing this tech gap, the dollar system’s counterattacks falter. When the U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions, Malaysia’s central bank retorted: "We refuse to launder money for Afghan opium traffickers anymore." SWIFT’s data shows 23% of suspicious transactions flow to "unknown" entities. Worse, China controls 78% of global rare earth refining and 85% of neodymium magnet production—critical for blockchain miners. This "resource-tech duopoly" fortifies the digital yuan’s defenses. **Endgame: When Financial Infrastructure Becomes the New Nuke** This revolution aims to democratize finance through technology. As cross-border payments shift from "exclusive couriers for elites" to "instant messaging for all," the dollar’s "monopoly rent from settlement systems" will vanish. Nobel economist Stiglitz noted: "The digital yuan isn’t replacing the dollar—it’s redefining the dimensions of monetary civilization." **Final Thought:** When 7-second settlements become routine, and blockchain ledgers replace bank credit, how will global currency dynamics mutate? Will this "financial blitzkrieg" accelerate a multipolar monetary system, or provoke a desperate counterstrike from traditional powers? Share your predictions in the comments. --- *Chen Chen’s Insight, Baidu Dynamics*
daremighty 发表于 2025-04-21 14:21 The Final Showdown Between China and the U.S.: The Battlefield Shifts from Military Hegemony to Global Currency Warfare** As the clock struck 3 a.m. on Wall Street, Switzerland’s banking clearing system suddenly flashed a red alert—China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS 2.0), powered by the digital yuan, went live simultaneously across 16 ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries. The first transaction, a 120 million yuan ($16.5 million) payment for auto parts, cleared from Shenzhen to Kuala Lumpur in 7.2 seconds. This speed, faster than a blink, rendered SWIFT’s three-day processing cycle a relic of the "Stone Age." The global financial world finally awoke: a bloodless currency war, armed with blockchain scalpels, had sliced open the veins of dollar hegemony. **Behind the Blitzkrieg: What 7 Seconds Upended Beyond Speed** The digital yuan’s "financial blitzkrieg" struck three fatal weaknesses of the dollar system: 1. **Cost Annihilation**: A cross-border e-commerce company’s ledger revealed that a $100,000 payment to a Thai supplier via SWIFT incurred $4,950 in fees (4.95%) and took 72 hours. Using CIPS 2.0, it cost $0.12 in network fees and settled instantly. This shift from "toll roads to data plans" slashed annual global trade settlement costs—worth $30 trillion—by over 90%. 2. **Technological Supremacy**: In tests by Singapore’s DBS Bank, the digital yuan’s *dual offline payment* function completed transactions without internet, while SWIFT’s VISA/Mastercard systems collapsed. More revolutionary was *smart contract technology*: when Malaysian palm oil arrived at Tianjin Port, the system auto-released payment, eliminating document fraud plaguing traditional trade. 3. **Security Revolution**: The UAE Central Bank showcased a money laundering case where the digital yuan’s blockchain ledger tracked every cent. A syndicate’s attempt to launder funds through 16 layered accounts was intercepted by AI risk controls in 0.3 seconds. In contrast, 85% of SWIFT’s cross-border money laundering cases require manual tracing, averaging 47 days. **De-Dollarization Tsunami: 16 Nations Pivot** This financial infrastructure revolution is triggering a chain reaction: - **ASEAN** announced that 90% of intraregional trade will settle in digital yuan by 2025, with Indonesia adding the yuan to its core forex reserves. - **Saudi Aramco’s** crude oil contract with Sinopec now prices 65% in digital yuan, cutting settlement from T+5 to T+0. - The **City of London** rushed to launch a "digital pound accelerator," but Bank of England officials admitted: "We’re at least 2.3 years behind China." **Twilight of Hegemony: SWIFT’s Last Stand** Facing this tech gap, the dollar system’s counterattacks falter. When the U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions, Malaysia’s central bank retorted: "We refuse to launder money for Afghan opium traffickers anymore." SWIFT’s data shows 23% of suspicious transactions flow to "unknown" entities. Worse, China controls 78% of global rare earth refining and 85% of neodymium magnet production—critical for blockchain miners. This "resource-tech duopoly" fortifies the digital yuan’s defenses. **Endgame: When Financial Infrastructure Becomes the New Nuke** This revolution aims to democratize finance through technology. As cross-border payments shift from "exclusive couriers for elites" to "instant messaging for all," the dollar’s "monopoly rent from settlement systems" will vanish. Nobel economist Stiglitz noted: "The digital yuan isn’t replacing the dollar—it’s redefining the dimensions of monetary civilization." **Final Thought:** When 7-second settlements become routine, and blockchain ledgers replace bank credit, how will global currency dynamics mutate? Will this "financial blitzkrieg" accelerate a multipolar monetary system, or provoke a desperate counterstrike from traditional powers? Share your predictions in the comments. --- *Chen Chen’s Insight, Baidu Dynamics*
As the clock struck 3 a.m. on Wall Street, Switzerland’s banking clearing system suddenly flashed a red alert—China’s Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS 2.0), powered by the digital yuan, went live simultaneously across 16 ASEAN and Middle Eastern countries. The first transaction, a 120 million yuan ($16.5 million) payment for auto parts, cleared from Shenzhen to Kuala Lumpur in 7.2 seconds. This speed, faster than a blink, rendered SWIFT’s three-day processing cycle a relic of the "Stone Age." The global financial world finally awoke: a bloodless currency war, armed with blockchain scalpels, had sliced open the veins of dollar hegemony.
**Behind the Blitzkrieg: What 7 Seconds Upended Beyond Speed** The digital yuan’s "financial blitzkrieg" struck three fatal weaknesses of the dollar system:
1. **Cost Annihilation**: A cross-border e-commerce company’s ledger revealed that a $100,000 payment to a Thai supplier via SWIFT incurred $4,950 in fees (4.95%) and took 72 hours. Using CIPS 2.0, it cost $0.12 in network fees and settled instantly. This shift from "toll roads to data plans" slashed annual global trade settlement costs—worth $30 trillion—by over 90%.
2. **Technological Supremacy**: In tests by Singapore’s DBS Bank, the digital yuan’s *dual offline payment* function completed transactions without internet, while SWIFT’s VISA/Mastercard systems collapsed. More revolutionary was *smart contract technology*: when Malaysian palm oil arrived at Tianjin Port, the system auto-released payment, eliminating document fraud plaguing traditional trade.
3. **Security Revolution**: The UAE Central Bank showcased a money laundering case where the digital yuan’s blockchain ledger tracked every cent. A syndicate’s attempt to launder funds through 16 layered accounts was intercepted by AI risk controls in 0.3 seconds. In contrast, 85% of SWIFT’s cross-border money laundering cases require manual tracing, averaging 47 days.
**De-Dollarization Tsunami: 16 Nations Pivot** This financial infrastructure revolution is triggering a chain reaction: - **ASEAN** announced that 90% of intraregional trade will settle in digital yuan by 2025, with Indonesia adding the yuan to its core forex reserves. - **Saudi Aramco’s** crude oil contract with Sinopec now prices 65% in digital yuan, cutting settlement from T+5 to T+0. - The **City of London** rushed to launch a "digital pound accelerator," but Bank of England officials admitted: "We’re at least 2.3 years behind China."
**Twilight of Hegemony: SWIFT’s Last Stand** Facing this tech gap, the dollar system’s counterattacks falter. When the U.S. Treasury threatened sanctions, Malaysia’s central bank retorted: "We refuse to launder money for Afghan opium traffickers anymore." SWIFT’s data shows 23% of suspicious transactions flow to "unknown" entities. Worse, China controls 78% of global rare earth refining and 85% of neodymium magnet production—critical for blockchain miners. This "resource-tech duopoly" fortifies the digital yuan’s defenses.
**Endgame: When Financial Infrastructure Becomes the New Nuke** This revolution aims to democratize finance through technology. As cross-border payments shift from "exclusive couriers for elites" to "instant messaging for all," the dollar’s "monopoly rent from settlement systems" will vanish. Nobel economist Stiglitz noted: "The digital yuan isn’t replacing the dollar—it’s redefining the dimensions of monetary civilization."
**Final Thought:** When 7-second settlements become routine, and blockchain ledgers replace bank credit, how will global currency dynamics mutate? Will this "financial blitzkrieg" accelerate a multipolar monetary system, or provoke a desperate counterstrike from traditional powers? Share your predictions in the comments.
--- *Chen Chen’s Insight, Baidu Dynamics*
SWIFT 处理速度取决于相关银行的系统更新，从中国几大银行汇款到美国银行账户，全部流程经常也就需要几个小时，这里面SWIFT处理估计不需要几分钟吧。
避开美元搞双边贸易啊，对美元也是非常大的伤害
美元崩了 不是对美国制造业回流大大的利好吗？
自由兑换真的这么重要么？
这口吻很像 西方的 民主必胜。
有多少人真懂自由兑换的好处和坏处？ 还是被潜移默化 洗脑 “不能自由兑换” 就没出路？
这个系统的目的并不是用RMB取代美元，至少短期目标不是。它的目的是取代Swift，就算用美元结算也一样可以用cips，只要不经过Swift美国长臂管辖就无法落地。说实话Swift这个老古董系统单从技术上讲早该被淘汰了，大家真是捏着鼻子用的。
不会代替, 但是多一个选择, 不信任美国可以用中国, 中国的敌人可以用美国, 两国都有卡的风险.
不能自由兑换的货币，做外贸的生意那局限性太大了。
你这思维方式不对头
习惯了吧，就像银行那种类似DOS的操作软件
" CIPS and SWIFT are both crucial for international financial transactions, but they serve different purposes. CIPS is a Chinese cross-border interbank payment system that facilitates yuan payments, while SWIFT is a global messaging network used by financial institutions worldwide. CIPS and SWIFT are not alternatives to each other; rather, they are complementary systems.
Here's a more detailed breakdown: SWIFT: Primarily a messaging network that enables banks to send financial instructions and information securely. It doesn't handle payments or settlements directly. CIPS: A payment system that provides clearing and settlement services for cross-border renminbi (RMB) transactions. It's designed to facilitate the internationalization of the yuan and offers an alternative to the U.S. dollar-dominated global payments system. How they interact: CIPS uses SWIFT for cross-border messaging, especially for indirect participants who use SWIFT to send instructions to their members. CIPS is also working on developing its own messaging system to reduce reliance on SWIFT. The partnership between CIPS and SWIFT aims to enhance the efficiency and reliability of cross-border RMB transactions. "
是的！
人民币自由兑换，对应的是人民币是否能成为全球储备货币 但这里的CIPS，对应的是人民币作为国际贸易的结算货币
两者并不是一回事
小国？真是无知
美元几十年内还完不了
美元未来几年走弱倒是很有可能，但这本身也是美元周期一部分
避开美元用RMB结算已经很久了啊。问题关键在于，参加的国家必须足够多，不然货品流通不起来啊。 又不一定正好你需要我的货， 我需要你的货。 而且交易额还差不了太多。不然单方倾销，货币转不起来。
其实中国也可以用给其他国家人民币贷款的方式，增加人民币在境外的流通。。
美国70年代之前一直都是贸易顺差国，就是通过投资和贷款方式增加美元在境外的流动性。。
当然，这种方式的规模有上限，流通量不会特别大
有些人喜欢把“能不能无限量兑换绿纸”偷换概念成自由兑换
在美元跟黄金挂钩的时候，这无疑是符合事实，美元本身就是黄金。
在美元跟世界上最重要的大宗货物石油挂钩的时候，美元也勉强算得上硬桶货。
但是现在美元现在既不能垄断石油交易，甚至连世界上最主要的物质财富来源：MIC（Made in China）都快买不到了。
把本国货币兑换成美国人印的绿纸还有什么意义呢？
中国从来就不想把人民币变成世界货币。
中国想要的是，made in China，世界上唯一的完整工业体系，中国货，变成和黄金石油一样的价格锚点。
看一个国家的货币价值有多少，就看这个国家的货币能买得起多少中国货。
这个就不要胡说八道了。这个美元系统，可能是美国最后一张牌。它如果把中国排除在美元系统外面，就不是开玩笑了。俄国还有中国印度帮忙。中国进去了，就没有国家可以帮忙了。
中国现在，不可能在美元系统外面。不要瞎搞笑了。
很像deepseek的文风
人民币能够自由兑换，是人民币成为国际主要结算货币之一的前提条件， 也是成为国际主要储备货币之一的前提条件。
现在美元在国际结算中占约40%份额、欧元占约35%的份额，美元、欧元都是自由兑换货币。 人民币只占3%的结算份额。
人民币要想成为国际货币之一，首先要能够做到自由兑换。否则别的国家拥有人民币，只能保障人民币可以在中国使用。谁会做这种傻事？
不断扩大人民币结算范围就好了。。。
当人民币可以购买到全球绝大多数工业品，可以直接购买从石油到大豆到各种矿产原材料的时候。。 是否可以自由兑换，这本身就没那么重要了。。
对对对，超市收银台把主要供货商踢出系统，请问是超市会完蛋，还是供货商会完蛋？
友提，你这个人民币3%的数字，是swift系统里的统计
你这个行为就跟去火车上问“有多少人买了飞机票”一样搞笑。
SWIFT系统一年的结算量大概在2000万亿美元量级。 那么全世界的贸易额是多少呢？
大概不到30万亿美元的样子，占SWIFT结算量不到1.5%。 而国际贸易中，商品贸易和服务贸易的比例大概在2：1左右。
也就是30万亿美元的国际贸易总额中，商品贸易有20万亿，服务贸易10万亿。 贸易总额进口出口各占50%，所以商品贸易出口10万亿美元。
中国每年的贸易总额大概在6万亿美元左右，占世界贸易额的20%，排名第一。 这其中出口大概3.4万亿美元，进口2.6万亿美元。
而中国出口贸易中，服务出口只有大概270亿美元左右，占出口贸易总额不到9%。 因此中国商品出口额达到了3.3万亿美元，占世界总出口额的33%，差不多正好是3成。
也就是说，全世界出口商品中有1/3都是中国生产的。
而中国贸易中，人民币结算比例已经超过50%，也就是中国出口的3.4万亿美元中，至少有1.7万亿是用人民币结算的。
而人民币结算走的是CIPS系统，这个系统过去跟SWIFT有接口，数据共享，但从2023年起，就逐渐脱离SWIFT开始独立运营。
虽然内部数据没有披露，但我猜测CIPS的结算数据大部分应该与SWIFT已经隔离了，不然美国大概率不会眼睁睁看着中国跟俄罗斯2000多亿美元的贸易而放任不管。
如果把CIPS结算的1.7万亿美元拿掉，SWIFT中剩下的商品出口只剩下了8.3万亿美元。
换句话说，SWIFT这2000万亿结算额里面，真正卖货赚的钱只有8.3/2000=0.415%，四舍五入基本就可以忽略不计了。
那么剩余的99.5%的结算额都是什么呢？ 答案是金融及其衍生品。
说白了，这部分“货币”背后完全没有货，他们玩的就是数字游戏。
实际的10万亿货物贸易里，已知人民币定价，CIPS结算的数额占了1.7万亿。剩下的美元欧元日元去分吧。
今年美国的进出口额还要腰斩。过不了两年，CIPS人民币在全球贸易里的比重就要超过美元了。
智障，多读书， 只需要大家后面不用 老旧的 SWIFT 就行了。这个没事制裁 那个没事制裁就没有那么有用了。
发言前 多查资料 中国很年买的可不少，也远高于美国。 多读书 明智。
更糟糕的是供货商开始使用微信支付和顺丰快递了，哈哈。
Buy tangible assets, not bonds or stocks.
其实已经开始这么干很久了啊。主要是必须参加的国家足够多。 不然中国帮小国还美元债，转为人名币债，但是人家咋还你人民币呢？ 除了卖东西给你。还有把固定资产给你。这个是有投资风险的，好几次小国政变，之前的投资，固定资产的拥有权就不认了。只有这个国家还能把东西卖给其他国家，且收的是人民币，才能让人名币流通起来。 现在是美元足够烂，且估值过高。但是又还没有一个货币能现在替代美元。
你要用数据，各方面数据都有，包括CIPS结算规模，网上一查就有。
一，通过SWIFT系统的结算规模 1. SWIFT年结算量 - SWIFT系统的年结算量约为 **2000万亿美元**，但其中实际商品和服务贸易仅占不到1.5%（约30万亿美元），其余主要为国际资本流动和金融衍生品交易。 - 美元主导地位：2024年美元占全球支付份额的47.04%，欧元占22.9%，日元占3.91%，人民币占2.93%。
2. SWIFT与贸易的关系 - SWIFT更多是金融交易的结算通道，而非单纯反映贸易流量。例如，国际贸易实际资金流占比不足2%，绝大部分为资本流动和金融衍生品交易。 但需要强调的是：国际资本流动和金融𧗠生品交易，是确保国际金融市场存在和国际贸易正常运行的基本条件。
3. 全球贸易总额 - 2024年全球贸易总额约为 **30万亿美元**，其中 **商品贸易约20万亿美元**，服务贸易约10万亿美元。 - 中国贸易总额约6万亿美元（占全球20%），其中商品出口3.4万亿美元（占全球商品出口总额的33%）。
二、通过CIPS系统的结算规模 1. CIPS业务量 - 2024年人民币跨境支付系统（CIPS）全年处理跨境人民币支付金额达 175万亿元（约25.4万亿美元，按汇率6.9计算，这里应该包括资本项下和金融衍生品交易，否则要占全世界商贸30万亿美元的80 ％了。
CIPS的25.4万亿美元仅占到SWIFT的2000万亿美元的1.27%。
千万别告诉我，国际资本自由流动和金融𧗠生品交易在国际市场上可有可无，这就好像理解为：一个国家只要有实业性工厂，但没有股市债市汇市一样。如此不完善、不发达、固步自封的金融市场，学金融都觉得是笑话！
人民币不成为自由兑换货币，人民币走向世界难着呢。CIPS只能保证以后不会像俄罗斯死得那么难看罢了。
我说货物贸易里人民币占了1/6，而且预计很快会超过美国
你非要说我说得说金融衍生品交易里美元玩的更花，杠杆率更大
请问你知不知道“衍生”是什么意思？
如果世界大宗商品交易转移到中国了，你猜大宗商品交易会用什么人民币还是美元计价，用cips还是swift记账？
“如此不完善、不发达、固步自封的金融市场，学金融都觉得是笑话！”
笑死我了，最近20年，中国政府做得最好的一件事就是压住A股，消灭了一大批潜在的投机者，从而让制造业能获得稳定的投资和人才。
希望美国在金融化务虚的道路上一路狂奔，千万不要回头！希望美国股指年年翻番，房价年年翻番，鸡蛋价格和汽车价格每年翻两番！
友提：2023年阿根廷股市涨幅世界第一。
你国内家人往美国给你汇款不还是要通过SWIFT吗？能想汇多少就汇多少吗？不还是只有每人每年五万的限额吗？
要是父母有心多汇钱帮你买房子，CIPS有一点点的用吗?
你自己在美国的公司与中国做生意，你是想用美元计价还是用人民币计价？若你接受人民币，欧美哪里可以接受你用人民币支付？
人民币若不能自由兑换，一切都是空话
“但是人家咋还你人民币呢？ 除了卖东西给你。还有把固定资产给你。” =========== 这和欠美元也没啥区别呀 其他国家欠了美元债还不上，还不是一样要么拿货物抵，要么拿资产抵？
当然，确实目前参加国家还不够多
但中国和东盟的人民币结算，是一大步。。 中国和东盟是目前全球规模最大的双边贸易关系了，而且涉及的货物从工业品到各种原材料，无所不包 再加上俄罗斯的原材料，这覆盖的产品就已经很多了
那是啊，你再折腾也跳不出地球，跳不出地球，所以没有意义，所以大家谁都别折腾了
中国没有用人民币替代美元的想法，要替代美元就需要大量贸易逆差，中国显然不希望这样的结果
cops条子们，这个名字好哈哈
你可以参考sdr
这个绝对是SB啊。中国故意压A股？？？