The Fed overestimated inflation and went too far with rate hikes, Duke finance professor Campbell Harvey said. He's the founder of the market's most famous recession indicator: the inverted yield curve. Now the curve is uninverting, which happened before each of the last four recessions, Harvey told CNBC. This week, yields in the bond market have taken a breather after the Federal Reserve decided to skip a rate hike again. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a recession, according to a finance professor at Duke.
The Fed overestimated inflation and went too far with rate hikes, Duke finance professor Campbell Harvey said. He''s the founder of the market''s most famous recession indicator: the inverted yield curve. Now the curve is uninverting, which happened before each of the last four recessions, Harvey told CNBC. This week, yields in the bond market have taken a breather after the Federal Reserve decided to skip a rate hike again. But that doesn''t mean we''ve dodged a recession, according to a finance professor at Duke. 文学城观光团 发表于 2023-11-04 16:11
He's the founder of the market's most famous recession indicator: the inverted yield curve.
Now the curve is uninverting, which happened before each of the last four recessions, Harvey told CNBC.
This week, yields in the bond market have taken a breather after the Federal Reserve decided to skip a rate hike again. But that doesn't mean we've dodged a recession, according to a finance professor at Duke.
啥overestimate了。吃的，装修的都涨了3，4倍了。再不加息，估计没多久一人一顿饭都要过百了。 实际上，Fed是反应太慢了，早该加息了。
了解美元潮汐 加息是为了拉爆其他国家经济，这样才好用美元抄底优质资产。 否则印出来的海量美元就是废纸，只能推高美国国内通货膨胀 继续加息是因为没有任何国家被拉爆
原材料生产加工运输安装各个环节都贵了，印钱导致通货膨胀。古罗马金币掺铜，大家可以察觉到，最后没人愿意要全铜假金币。现在纸币滥发，你感觉不到而已。
窃以为是在找外星人，什么时候外星人显身，加息就结束了。
中国经济已经受到影响了吧！上海外资撤离，很多裁员、失业，多数人开始降级消费
LOL 知道为啥该爆的国家没爆么？
不好说这是好事还是坏事。 减税得少花才行。如果一边减税一边大手大脚花钱，钱从哪来呢？不是印钱就是借债，最后还是我们买单。
一边加息一边撒钱，一边踩油门一边踩刹车，都停下就行了。
加息太晚，经济很好
不想知道。。。