Payrolls increased by 336,000 in September, much more than expected PUBLISHED FRI, OCT 6 20238:31 AM EDTUPDATED 2 MIN AGO Job growth was stronger than expected in September, a sign that the U.S. economy is hanging tough despite higher interest rates, labor strife and dysfunction in Washington. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 for the month, better than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 170,000, the Labor Department said Friday in a much-anticipated report. The unemployment rate was 3.8%, compared to the forecast for 3.7%. Average hourly earnings increase 0.2% for the month and 4.2% from a year ago, compared to respective estimates for 0.3% and 4.3%.
Job growth was stronger than expected in September, a sign that the U.S. economy is hanging tough despite higher interest rates, labor strife and dysfunction in Washington.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 for the month, better than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 170,000, the Labor Department said Friday in a much-anticipated report. The unemployment rate was 3.8%, compared to the forecast for 3.7%.
Average hourly earnings increase 0.2% for the month and 4.2% from a year ago, compared to respective estimates for 0.3% and 4.3%.
还有一个解释就是工作数据好，加息可以继续。。。
统计数据像个迷，这些预期数据互相打架也像个迷，然后一个月后名正言顺改数据那是常态，2-3个月后还在修正数据
我也很疑惑。应该是没有减掉。新增好统计。但是新丢工作的难，自己辞职，解雇，开除，需要统计的口径太多。自己辞职的还不能拿失业保险，被公司解雇但是又拿大包裹的也不能拿失业保险。所以同时期丢工作的人不能用新增失业保险来算。
ADP数据不准，可以做大趋势来看。但是一般是以政府通告的这个为准。因为很多公司不用ADP的服务，所以ADP这个数据实际是个模型算的，但是政府的不一样，新增的工作要报税，应该很准。
因为ADP数据并不是实际数据，而是用ADP自己的数据做的模型算的。打个简单的例子，如果50%的公司用ADP服务，ADP自己新增1个，那美国就新增2个。这个结果有时候会很准，有时候会有很大误差。
如果没有减掉，那这数据有啥实际意义？也许大部分是跳槽和解雇后找新工作的人