外交政策:再打一年,俄罗斯将占领乌克兰三分之一的领土

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neigaeu
楼主 (北美华人网)
文章认为,军事还是次要,主要是经济和能源基础设施被进一步严重打击下,难以支撑。
https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/24/after-a-year-of-war-ukraine-and-russia-remain-determined/ After a Year of War, Ukraine and Russia Remain Determined
“Thus, as the Western press continues to highlight Ukraine’s successes, we should also recognize that if year two of the war were essentially a carbon copy of the first, in February 2024 Russia would control almost one-third of Ukraine,” Allison added. And that is to say nothing of the Ukrainian casualties—civilian and military. There have been thousands of Ukrainian civilians killed in the war and very few Russian civilians. According to Allison’s report card, Ukrainian and Russian military casualties are comparable.
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haoliqiu
最怕就是网上预测的这种,划江而治。
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jeso1
拜登和北约难道用钱堆不起来小小乌克兰? 美国gdp25万亿,给个1千亿,乌克兰就能达到战前gdp,二百五十分之一都不肯?
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tgaa
回复 2楼haoliqiu的帖子
几百年里,就是这样子的,东乌属于俄国,以第聂伯河划江而治
婚纱旗袍晚礼服
拜登和北约难道用钱堆不起来小小乌克兰? 美国gdp25万亿,给个1千亿,乌克兰就能达到战前gdp,二百五十分之一都不肯?
jeso1 发表于 2023-02-25 11:29

一万亿还差不多,给十万亿我都支持。
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jeso1
一万亿还差不多,给十万亿我都支持。
婚纱旗袍晚礼服 发表于 2023-02-25 11:46

不用,乌克兰gdp 2000亿,美国给1000亿,北约给1000亿。
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nj_guy
把乌克兰版图损失面积按2022年的比列来乘一下, 作为来年的预测,这也太傻叉了。如果这种预测方式可行的话,用 March 24, 2022 年乌克兰损失的土地百分比,在那个时候估算一年以后的状况,(to the power 12),。。。