看来这次下猛药了。 Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark policy rate by 0.75 percentage points for the first time in three decades and signalled an aggressive pace of monetary tightening in the coming months https://on.ft.com/3NZTbLG BREAKING: The Fed raises its main interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase since 1994 https://bit.ly/3NY9w3B
应该是时间不多了，得赶在labor market变差之前打下inflation。但是可能数据已经显示labor market要撑不住了。 “The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective,” said a policy statement released Wednesday afternoon. The statement removed a line that, in May, had indicated officials expected inflation to return to 2% and for the labor market to remain strong as it raised rates.
应该是时间不多了，得赶在labor market变差之前打下inflation。但是可能数据已经显示labor market要撑不住了。 “The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective,” said a policy statement released Wednesday afternoon. The statement removed a line that, in May, had indicated officials expected inflation to return to 2% and for the labor market to remain strong as it raised rates. pxs06 发表于 2022-06-15 14:25
看来这次下猛药了。 Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark policy rate by 0.75 percentage points for the first time in three decades and signalled an aggressive pace of monetary tightening in the coming months https://on.ft.com/3NZTbLG BREAKING: The Fed raises its main interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase since 1994 https://bit.ly/3NY9w3B jchen36 发表于 2022-06-15 14:09
应该是时间不多了，得赶在labor market变差之前打下inflation。但是可能数据已经显示labor market要撑不住了。 “The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective,” said a policy statement released Wednesday afternoon. The statement removed a line that, in May, had indicated officials expected inflation to return to 2% and for the labor market to remain strong as it raised rates. pxs06 发表于 2022-06-15 14:25
看来这次下猛药了。 Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark policy rate by 0.75 percentage points for the first time in three decades and signalled an aggressive pace of monetary tightening in the coming months https://on.ft.com/3NZTbLG BREAKING: The Fed raises its main interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase since 1994 https://bit.ly/3NY9w3B jchen36 发表于 2022-06-15 14:09
看来这次下猛药了。 Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark policy rate by 0.75 percentage points for the first time in three decades and signalled an aggressive pace of monetary tightening in the coming months https://on.ft.com/3NZTbLG BREAKING: The Fed raises its main interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase since 1994 https://bit.ly/3NY9w3B jchen36 发表于 2022-06-15 14:09
Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark policy rate by 0.75 percentage points for the first time in three decades and signalled an aggressive pace of monetary tightening in the coming months https://on.ft.com/3NZTbLG
BREAKING: The Fed raises its main interest rate by 75 basis points, the largest increase since 1994 https://bit.ly/3NY9w3B
好好好
Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 0.75%, most since 1994, amid effort to slow inflation
并不让人感到意外。
收效会很大吗？
过去两次都是第二天大跌
应该是时间不多了，得赶在labor market变差之前打下inflation。但是可能数据已经显示labor market要撑不住了。
“The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective,” said a policy statement released Wednesday afternoon. The statement removed a line that, in May, had indicated officials expected inflation to return to 2% and for the labor market to remain strong as it raised rates.
我都有些绝望，觉得2% inflation不可能了。至少短期内不可能
0% 和 -0.5%有区别吗？基本没区别，经济大幅减速已成定局
今天目前为止走了个v字
现在可好，要下猛药啦！！！（可能还来不及）.
还是那句话，放弃幻想做好战斗准备吧。
另：股市没有完蛋。去两年就是放水推出来的水份可能会都挤没了。黄粱一梦啊。
嗯，价值投资再次证明其不可动摇的正确性。老巴果然厉害
你应该问：房价会跌多少？跌多久？
这是为什么呢？不是说花街金融男都是秒吗？
back to pre-covid
你这价值投资普通人也就能投s&p了吧
为什么我这房价还不跌呢，而且每一套卖出都是新高。关键是没房源。不仅是我个人的观察啊。我也看统计数据的。5月的listing是疫情前的三分之一。都没人卖房子。
他一直算是强硬的，当时被川普硬干涉。 他等到第二期上任稳了就动手了
难道不是因为biden授意的？trump在的时候听trump的，biden上位听biden的。就是这么个墙头草。
同不解
能被trump 干涉就不叫强硬
看明天，估计要大跌
估计明天花街又会出来说，按错键了。
每次涨一点我都狠不下心一键清空，结果第二天都是跌得魂飞魄散，明天估计也得血肉横飞
今天股市涨回来不少呀，我的损失减少了很多。
19年就该加息了，非要拖到现在。
能跌回2020甚至更多吗？
我投什么个股为什么要告诉你。 😜 。
另外不要看不起大盘啊喂。compound interest 的威力天才人士已经说过了。
Labor market 完蛋，不买了，物价肯定下降。
他这个经济政策真是够极端的，吃补药就补得流鼻血，降温就直接吃到趴下
这才是我最服这届FED的地方，连最起码的职业道德都没有
powell在打嘴炮，在和市场赌谁先眨眼。fed的底牌在加息到5%最多，超过5%国债受不了，政府还不起利息。现在政府花12%的财政收入还利息。我们测算过利率到4%政府要花20%财政收入还利息，利率到5%就要花25%。政府从1980年以来利率15%的时候也才最多花到25%。到时候只能加税平衡赤字，紧缩财政，对经济绝对是灾难性的。
鲍威尔在赌市场信心会先被打垮。欧洲和日本会在美国前先垮。
打不下通胀，民主党中期选举输定了，大选也一定会输。打下通胀是recession，打不下来通胀，就是滞涨，比衰退差多了
什么乱七八糟的。只有现在卖出的国债时按高利率付钱；已经卖出的国债利率不变
你当银行做模型傻呀，当然是把所有国债refi schedule，财政赤字，bill， notes全考虑进去做模型了
他强硬啥？trump都下台了他还喊通胀是暂时的，晚加息了一年，不知道是为了搏第二任还是为了让领导的股票先走。总之这次通胀和经济危机fed 和民主党乱发钱责任各一半
我记得是最多加到4%就扛不住了，现在就算利率是6%，但是通胀是8%啊，持有房产还是跑赢通胀。
估计这个0.75需要时间才能体现
同意打嘴炮说，这轮加息实际没多少空间，fed在赌市场信心先被打垮，欧洲日本和新兴市场先垮。
现在最高的才1.25%
有些小银行的SAVING都有1.5了吧，CD好像目前高的12个月能到2，估计过阵子要2.5了。不过和通胀比，还是算不上什么，倒是IBOND明年可以继续买点了。
我觉得一半是正确的。
Trump当总统的时候他不敢做主。
Biden没有强迫他，他就可以使用自己的工具了。要不然Biden 支持率那么低怎么会希望打压股市进而打压经济。
这个通胀不压下去全社会跟着受苦啊。
不只是加息，同时减缩，后边减少流动可能更厉害。
现在是不是国债更高点
我估计房价跌三年，到2025年中稳定，再过1-2年，开始下一轮上涨。