CDC数据显示:美国新冠疫情已经进入尾声

sheerlily
为什么华人网上, 只要说病毒减弱, 就一推人砸。不止这一个帖子了。 数据放在哪儿, 明显传染率,住院率, 死亡率都在显著下降。
好伴梦去
奇怪了,CDC自己的解读可没楼主这么乐观。 https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
Nationally, since mid-July, there has been an overall decreasing trend in the percentage of specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 and a decreasing or stable (change of ≤0.1%) trend in the percentage of visits for ILI and CLI; however, there has been some regional variation. Using combined data from the three laboratory types, the national percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 with a molecular assay decreased from 5.8% during week 35 to 5.2% during week 36. Regionally, the percentage of respiratory specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 increased slightly in Regions 1 (New England) and 3 (Mid-Atlantic) and decreased or remained stable in the remaining seven regions. The highest percentages of specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 were seen in Regions 4 (South East, 8.1%), 6 (South Central, 9.3%), and 7 (Central, 9.5%), but the percentage is decreasing in all three regions. The percentage of outpatient or ED visits to ILINet providers for ILI is below baseline nationally and in nine of the 10 regions of the country. Region 7 (Central) reported ILI above the region-specific baseline. This increase is due to visits for ILI associated with COVID-19 activity in Iowa, which resulted in Iowa experiencing “very high” ILI activity. Compared with week 35, the percentage of visits for ILI during week 36 decreased nationally and decreased or was stable (change of ≤0.1%) in all 10 regions. The percentage of visits to EDs for CLI decreased nationally for the eighth consecutive week and, compared with the previous week, decreased in all 10 HHS regions. The percentage of visits to EDs for ILI was stable (change of ≤0.1%) nationally and decreasing or stable in all 10 regions. The overall cumulative COVID-19-associated hospitalization rate was 166.9 per 100,000; rates were highest in people 65 years of age and older (451.2 per 100,000) followed by people 50–64 years (249.8 per 100,000). Although SARS-CoV-2 viruses have been circulating in the U.S. for slightly longer than a typical influenza season, the cumulative hospitalization rate for COVID-19 among adults 65 years and older is now higher than the end-of-season influenza hospitalization rates for recent influenza seasons, including the high severity 2017­–2018 season. Since early in the pandemic, cumulative COVID-19 hospitalization rates for younger adult age groups (18-49 year olds and 50-64 year olds) have been higher than recent end-of-season hospitalization rates for influenza. From the week ending August 1 (week 31) to the week ending August 29 (week 35), weekly hospitalization rates declined for all adult age groups. However, over this same time period, weekly rates initially remained constant for children in the 5–17 year age group and then increased during the week ending August 29 (week 35). Data for the most recent weeks may change as additional admissions occurring during those weeks are reported. Hispanic or Latino persons and Non-Hispanic Black persons had age-adjusted hospitalization rates approximately 4.7 times that of non-Hispanic White persons. The rate for non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native persons was approximately 4.6 times the rate among non-Hispanic White persons. Based on death certificate data, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia, influenza, or COVID-19 (PIC) for week 36 was 6.3%, lower than the percentage during week 35 (9.5%), but above the epidemic threshold. These percentages will likely increase as more death certificates are processed. All surveillance systems aim to provide the most complete data available. Estimates from previous weeks are subject to change as data are updated with the most complete data available.
tiaodashen
为什么华人网上, 只要说病毒减弱, 就一推人砸。不止这一个帖子了。 数据放在哪儿, 明显传染率,住院率, 死亡率都在显著下降。
sheerlily 发表于 2020-09-15 10:31

一般都是今年的新ID,你懂的
y
ylzhang
我觉得11月3日前应该能清零
feifeiduan 发表于 2020-09-14 13:32

神回复呀
coalpilerd
你要证明人家是笑话你得有数据和事实,不是说一句人是笑话,又说不出哪里是笑话,为什么是笑话,那你岂不是更大的笑话。 声明哈,我不是认为cdc who可靠,我是单纯的鄙视这周随便下结论又没有论据的方式。 楼主的结论对不对放一边,起码人家有论据,这里反驳的人,都是观点,没有一个有论据有论证的。 不知道里面有多少没培训过的五毛七毛,就是来搅混水的
bababa 发表于 2020-09-15 08:31

这俩是笑话还需要多少事实啊,网民真是金鱼记忆。今年一月二月WHO死扛着不宣布中国为疫区,好不容易宣布下来就跟儿子被天朝政府绑架似的;然后美帝要撤出WHO,紧接着爆出WHO拿着人家的资助头等舱和五星级旅馆满世界浪。CDC死扛着不推荐戴口罩,说是洗手就行;抓着检测不肯放手,华大的检测还差点被他们叫停;开发出来的测试盒P用都没有,统计个病例还要从一亩三分地抄数据。
这些事情充分暴露了两个机构的无能、贪婪与刚愎自用。
y
yyhh
支持大总统,他说了情况好转,就一定可以在11月3号之前清零的!
Banff_Jasper
回复102楼yyhh的帖子 我也相信,大选结果出来后,美国的数据会骤减,加州纽约州马上大开,山火也没了,共产国际和BLM也不出来了。 ---发自Huaren 官方 iOS APP
好伴梦去
CDC网站对图一死亡率的解释是下面的英文。黑体字是关键的信息。因为是death certificate 数据,数据处理有延后性,越接近现在时间,数据越不准确。偏偏楼主就拿最近的数据写了这么一大篇。CDC很明确的说了,这个死亡率还会上升!
Based on death certificate data, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia, influenza, or COVID-19 (PIC) for week 36 was 6.3%, lower than the percentage during week 35 (9.5%), but above the epidemic threshold. These percentages will likely increase as more death certificates are processed.
Niuniu6518
good news, 但谁信呀?
C
Czboy
CDC网站对图一死亡率的解释是下面的英文。黑体字是关键的信息。因为是death certificate 数据,数据处理有延后性,越接近现在时间,数据越不准确。偏偏楼主就拿最近的数据写了这么一大篇。CDC很明确的说了,这个死亡率还会上升!
Based on death certificate data, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia, influenza, or COVID-19 (PIC) for week 36 was 6.3%, lower than the percentage during week 35 (9.5%), but above the epidemic threshold. These percentages will likely increase as more death certificates are processed.

好伴梦去 发表于 2020-09-15 11:11

yes,这是标准用语,因为这个是accumulated weekly report, 随着时间推移,肯定会有变化,情况会更好。
Lynn木木
为啥大家都这么悲观呢?今年已经够糟糕的了,不是更应该保持乐观+谨慎的态度生活才能继续吗? 一天天地活在负能量里很快就抑郁了
gzzps
楼主好像从7月份以来就一直在说毒性减弱。
Banff_Jasper
回复 104楼好伴梦去的帖子
Let''s take a look at Great Britain.
This WeChat account obviously does business with China, especially for those Chinese students.
Banff_Jasper
Banff_Jasper
C
Czboy

Banff_Jasper 发表于 2020-09-15 12:09

其实大部分人没有理解我的意思,感染有什么关系?大家感染了感冒害怕吗?
关键不是病例数量,而是病毒致病性!
VSecret
包里斯复阳了?清零是不是宣布得太早了?哈哈哈哈
evergreenscf
我觉得11月3日前应该能清零
feifeiduan 发表于 2020-09-14 13:32

建议下个总统令,直接清零!
C
Confuse
楼主属于乐观派。 目前关于这个病对身体的影响还没有很全面的了解。致死率如果下降是好事,但也不是唯一的事。
好伴梦去
yes,这是标准用语,因为这个是accumulated weekly report, 随着时间推移,肯定会有变化,情况会更好。
Czboy 发表于 2020-09-15 11:50

I 服了 you!每次都拿临时数据得出死亡率在降低的结论,每次的结论都被后来的数据打脸,然后继续拿临时数据支持你错误的结论!
Namama
楼主这种类似乐观判断前后发了多少篇了?
无一例外,全部被打脸。。。。
竟然还在坚持。。。。
meanGirl7
其实大部分人没有理解我的意思,感染有什么关系?大家感染了感冒害怕吗?
关键不是病例数量,而是病毒致病性!
Czboy 发表于 2020-09-15 12:18

懂的,这么简单的道理怎么不懂。 但是,不夸大疫情的严重性,怎么打击川普呢? 打不了川普,他个流氓接下来四年死干土工,大家粉红就变黑皮了。 所以啊,要每天都叫啊,几千感染啊,吓死你们最好。 其实,这些小孩,大概率啥事也没有。
HappyOranges
数据是公开的,也不是秘密。
何必一而再地以公开已有的数据,反反复复地教别人该往哪个方向想,该如何做。
n
nomorewaiting
谁告诉你新冠疫情进入尾声的啊?
Mintcafe
为啥大家都这么悲观呢?今年已经够糟糕的了,不是更应该保持乐观+谨慎的态度生活才能继续吗? 一天天地活在负能量里很快就抑郁了
Lynn木木 发表于 2020-09-15 12:04

大家只是很现实,这个楼主数月如一日的教导大家,新冠就是大感冒,我导师,多么厉害的人啊,也这么说的,和我一样别戴防护出去浪吧,不信的都是抑郁xxxx, 被人拿数据疑问🤔️,或者求他导师的论文一阅,就销声匿迹再次开贴,所有言论重复n遍,孜孜不倦的好像付费广告,很多人就是恶心到了吧,在这个帖子里“悲观”的估计很多也是真担心有个把“乐观”的真敢按他指示大感冒去,那可能会要人命的,所以忍着恶心提醒或者反驳一下,不然谁有兴趣一遍一遍的回啊,港真这和乐观悲观有神马关系?
Cutie518
能干什么干什么去吧,注意防护。这个夏天就是工作太忙,真想不到我这里的经济这么好,要不然也跟我邻居一样开车出去旅行。
Mintcafe
谁告诉你新冠疫情进入尾声的啊?
nomorewaiting 发表于 2020-09-15 14:32

从楼主一开始宣扬大感冒和现在疫情已经快要结束的时间段来看,大概是大统领吧。另外不知道为神马我总觉得楼主的疫情帖其实是政治帖,可能因为楼里附和的基本都是某粉吧🤷‍♀️
ReachMoon
不管是不是某粉,我真心希望楼主说得是真的
Lynn木木
大家只是很现实,这个楼主数月如一日的教导大家,新冠就是大感冒,我导师,多么厉害的人啊,也这么说的,和我一样别戴防护出去浪吧,不信的都是抑郁xxxx, 被人拿数据疑问🤔️,或者求他导师的论文一阅,就销声匿迹再次开贴,所有言论重复n遍,孜孜不倦的好像付费广告,很多人就是恶心到了吧,在这个帖子里“悲观”的估计很多也是真担心有个把“乐观”的真敢按他指示大感冒去,那可能会要人命的,所以忍着恶心提醒或者反驳一下,不然谁有兴趣一遍一遍的回啊,港真这和乐观悲观有神马关系?
Mintcafe 发表于 2020-09-15 14:46

我说的是心态,自己心情放轻松点,但不代表可以行为上松懈,该消毒消毒,该居家居家。网上各种悲观乐观的分析言论一大堆,我选择挑那些“好消息”看。
rosesavels
从楼主一开始宣扬大感冒和现在疫情已经快要结束的时间段来看,大概是大统领吧。另外不知道为神马我总觉得楼主的疫情帖其实是政治帖,可能因为楼里附和的基本都是某粉吧🤷‍♀️
Mintcafe 发表于 2020-09-15 15:23

这还用说,当然是政治贴,楼主你敢站出来说你不是挺川人士吗?只有带着自己的目的的人才会一而再再二三的发这种带有强烈指向的贴。
Mintcafe
我说的是心态,自己心情放轻松点,但不代表可以行为上松懈,该消毒消毒,该居家居家。网上各种悲观乐观的分析言论一大堆,我选择挑那些“好消息”看。
Lynn木木 发表于 2020-09-16 10:16

我选择hope for the best, prepare for the worst, keep calm and carry on
Mintcafe
这还用说,当然是政治贴,楼主你敢站出来说你不是挺川人士吗?只有带着自己的目的的人才会一而再再二三的发这种带有强烈指向的贴。
rosesavels 发表于 2020-09-16 10:21

他是铁杆大统领粉,立场早就表明了,我就是觉得他是不是一直在试图用“科学”来证实大统领的“预言”,按他的说法,现在中国疫情严重到快灭国了,美国疫情丝毫不严重,觉得严重的都是“不懂科学”,“抑郁症”,“没常识”,“像我不戴口罩,有同事中招了我都没事”等等等等, 并且美国疫情很快就结束了,非常“乐观”。
Chiaseed
川粉跟川普一样喜欢play down疫情
EggMM
BS。。。。