英文WIKI和中文WIKI有什么区别么？给你看中文是因为怕你不懂英文，你无知本质被揭穿以后就开始胡搅蛮缠找借口了？你说的黑天鹅和黑天鹅效应是一个东西吗？丢人显眼 The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild. The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain: [list=1] The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology. The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities). The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.
《黑天鹅》是我近年读过的很有智慧的书，在这个名称之后问这么愚蠢低智的问题，我这火儿啊腾的就上来了。
你不知道LZ是台湾人么？前几天刚吹嘘台湾是世界的抗役楷模。
因为LZ是台湾人，看完他的这帖你就清楚他坐在哪边了。
https://forums.huaren.us/showtopic.aspx?topicid=2515785&forumpage=1
共匪滚回厉害国！
因为全世界主动投毒啊
还在拿2009年猪流感和现在的武汉肺炎做比较的不是傻就是坏
猪流感死亡率低于普通流感所以在美国乃至全世界并没有引起恐慌，美股2009年涨了一年！中国A股也是涨！
你全家都是台湾人
意大利裔美国人佩洛西，德裔美国人川普他们热爱美国，不像你身在美国攻击美国狂舔嘻嘻皮，就是不肯离开美国回你心心念念的祖国大陆，快回国吧，美国太危险了。
以你的智商确实很难理解
英文WIKI和中文WIKI有什么区别么？给你看中文是因为怕你不懂英文，你无知本质被揭穿以后就开始胡搅蛮缠找借口了？你说的黑天鹅和黑天鹅效应是一个东西吗？丢人显眼
The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild. The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain: [list=1]
The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.
看了隔壁那个路德爆了之后。。
等待后续验证
你这不是“世界命运共同体”的思想吗？在这里是大逆不道。这里是美国优先，中国屎坑
都是些台湾人ID居多，专门黑中国。
希望不要误伤了中国的老百姓
最怕起战争！其它国家肯定不服。
Re CDC的头都说了 当年09年流感的时候 我们的盟友英澳加都不给我们口罩 盟友靠不住
见风使舵的盟友们 还团结在要征汽车和农业品关税的老大旁边吗
世界各国的傻逼浓度取决于政府媒体的宣传，他们如果不强调ccp造孽，全世界人民只会把锅盖在华裔的身上。这也是我们华人最痛恨ccp的point之一。
您就继续跪舔CCP吧，真正的中国人不会。
什么预测贴
CCP还没出现的时代，排华法案已经有了好不好。排华跟CCP毛关系？非我族类之争罢了。
嗯 一把双黄连口服液和加天津产口服疫苗 伊朗和朝鲜人民有福了
等他下台了 winnie也不屑于跟他做好朋友
还能把流感跟新冠等同，这是信cdc信的走火入魔了吗
正神马上上上你身了，颤抖吧！
你烦透了为什么还要进这个楼啊，从标题看你就应该知道这是个政治话题呀？
其实特殊时期短时间的独裁对美国来说未必不是一个选项。古罗马共和国在大难来时还有独裁官制度，现今美国从过去的全球化美梦中醒来，不太可能会坐以待毙。
有些人难道真的只有7秒钟金鱼记忆？和政府什么关系？亏你问的出这种话。
全国各种封城的同时，谁带节奏说WHO对于把新冠列入国际公共卫生紧急事件的投票表决是“中国的一场硬仗”的？谁谴责美帝停航是做了坏表率的？谁扣押捐赠物资宁给领导不给医护的？又是谁在趁机推销双黄连的？
不过，鉴于天朝在这些种种骚操作之下还能控制住疫情，我对美帝的疫情控制还是比较有信心的。停工停学各自在家隔离的措施现在也慢慢开始了，最后应该会搞定。只要坚持到特效药和疫苗出来了，就没什么可怕的了。