The latest Monmouth poll in PA that just came out this morning is quite surprising; it had Clinton up by 10%. When I read the Monmouth report, it said Clinton's edge was mostly due to white women LV. But what I'm really wondering is whether they polled people mostly from cities like Philly or Pittsburgh, which they conveniently did not disclose. I mean I expect Clinton to poll slightly ahead in PA, but not by 10%.
The latest Monmouth poll in PA that just came out this morning is quite surprising; it had Clinton up by 10%. When I read the Monmouth report, it said Clinton's edge was mostly due to white women LV. But what I'm really wondering is whether they polled people mostly from cities like Philly or Pittsburgh, which they conveniently did not disclose. I mean I expect Clinton to poll slightly ahead in PA, but not by 10%.
不飞花 发表于 10/4/2016 3:30:22 PM
pa 中部是红脖子的地区也是共和党区， 但是也有不少受过高等教育的典型传统共和党，恐怕失去的是这些人的选票
What about your qualities, your skills, and your temperament equip you to step into that role at a moment's notice? Senator Kaine?
KAINE: Elaine, thank you for being here tonight, and, Governor Pence, welcome. It is so great to be back at Longwood University in Farmville, Virginia.
This is a very special place. Sixty-five years ago, a young, courageous woman, Barbara Johns, led a walkout of her high school, Moton High School. She made history by protesting school segregation. She believed our nation was stronger together. And that walkout led to the Brown v. Board of Education decision that moved us down the path toward equality.
I am so proud to be running with another strong, history-making woman, Hillary Clinton, to be president of the United States. I'm proud because her vision of stronger together, building an economy that works for all, not just those at the top, being safe in the world not only with a strong military, but also strong alliances to battle terrorism and climate change, and also to build a community of respect, just like Barbara Johns tried to do 65 years ago. That's why I'm so proud to be her running mate.
Hillary told me why she asked me to be her running mate. She said the test of a Clinton administration will not be the signing of a bill or the passage of a bill. It'll be whether we can make somebody's life better, whether we can make a classroom better learning environment for schoolkids or teachers, whether we can make a safer -- it's going to be about results.
And she said to me, you've been a missionary and a civil rights lawyer. You've been a city councilman and mayor. You've been a lieutenant governor and governor and now a U.S. senator. I think you will help me figure out how to govern this nation so that we always keep in mind that the success of the administration is the difference we make in people's lives.
And that's what I bring to the ticket, that experience having served at all levels of government. But my primary role is to be Hillary Clinton's right-hand person and strong supporter as she puts together the most historic administration possible. And I relish that role. I'm so proud of her.
KAINE: I'll just say this: We trust Hillary Clinton, my wife and I, and we trust her with the most important thing in our life. We have a son deployed overseas in the Marine Corps right now. We trust Hillary Clinton as president and commander-in-chief, but the thought of Donald Trump as commander-in-chief scares us to death.
太喜欢Kaine的头一个回答啦！ What about your qualities, your skills, and your temperament equip you to step into that role at a moment's notice? Senator Kaine? KAINE: Elaine, thank you for being here tonight, and, Governor Pence, welcome. It is so great to be back at Longwood University in Farmville, Virginia. This is a very special place. Sixty-five years ago, a young, courageous woman, Barbara Johns, led a walkout of her high school, Moton High School. She made history by protesting school segregation. She believed our nation was stronger together. And that walkout led to the Brown v. Board of Education decision that moved us down the path toward equality. I am so proud to be running with another strong, history-making woman, Hillary Clinton, to be president of the United States. I'm proud because her vision of stronger together, building an economy that works for all, not just those at the top, being safe in the world not only with a strong military, but also strong alliances to battle terrorism and climate change, and also to build a community of respect, just like Barbara Johns tried to do 65 years ago. That's why I'm so proud to be her running mate. Hillary told me why she asked me to be her running mate. She said the test of a Clinton administration will not be the signing of a bill or the passage of a bill. It'll be whether we can make somebody's life better, whether we can make a classroom better learning environment for schoolkids or teachers, whether we can make a safer -- it's going to be about results. And she said to me, you've been a missionary and a civil rights lawyer. You've been a city councilman and mayor. You've been a lieutenant governor and governor and now a U.S. senator. I think you will help me figure out how to govern this nation so that we always keep in mind that the success of the administration is the difference we make in people's lives. And that's what I bring to the ticket, that experience having served at all levels of government. But my primary role is to be Hillary Clinton's right-hand person and strong supporter as she puts together the most historic administration possible. And I relish that role. I'm so proud of her. KAINE: I'll just say this: We trust Hillary Clinton, my wife and I, and we trust her with the most important thing in our life. We have a son deployed overseas in the Marine Corps right now. We trust Hillary Clinton as president and commander-in-chief, but the thought of Donald Trump as commander-in-chief scares us to death.
Pence drew national criticism in March 2015 for signing a “religious freedom” law that would have allowed businesses to refuse services to lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people.
Pence drew national criticism in March 2015 for signing a “religious freedom” law that would have allowed businesses to refuse services to lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender peop...... asvs 发表于 10/4/2016 9:55:11 PM
"I'm a Christian, a conservative, and a Republican, in that order”。他是个虔诚的教徒
怎么解释像你们这样昧著良心？？？？？？？？？！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！
你们就是骗子骗人！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！！
73.2了，早上72.8%，嘿嘿
你参军被送上战场，如果你逃跑那就是逃兵，无论你又多不愿意杀你面前的人。越战还得杀妇女跟儿童，打到后来很多人都厌战了，但撤军之前你不能跑，跑了一样算逃兵。你能说越战老兵都是恶魔？临阵退缩你能用“爱好和平”来开脱自己吗？
希拉里不错在不得不为强奸犯做辩护。要说错，她就根本一开始就不应该选律师这个职业。问题是律师它就是个职业。希拉里十几岁进大学选的就是这个。她选择职业的那一天，怎么能预见会遇到这种破事？这道理懂不？
希拉里在benghazi事件上除了事后说了一句不痛不痒的话，前后没有任何做错。家人死了，满腔愤怒，不愿意move on在情理之中，希拉里劝他们move on也没劝错。扯皮是政府跟家属之间沟通不到位，但benghazi一共死了4个人，这事件本身不是希拉里的错！
你就不用绕了，绕来绕去也就那么几件事
你们Trump支持者里流行作假，靠编谎言来拉选票，不要脸，这是一次又一次持续了一年的被证实的事实。你不可能赌得住我们的嘴说甚至骂。
其实我也不觉得你们拿钱了。一是川普这么小气不可能在华人占1%的情况下舍得给华人钱。二是华人骨子里是相对脆弱单纯的，愿意相信A欺负我们, 只要推翻了A就带来了彻底美好与平等的简单方程式。 许多人愿意选择相信民主党是有意愿欺负华人的（而不是社会与政策系统的复杂性造成），而川普来了就可以改变这个局面。
回顾一下，没有哪个民族比我们在历史上更愿意造神，更愿意被个别领袖而蒙昧。
后果是什么呢，要是再这样奇葩地群体性支持川普下去，华人可能会继续得到媒体的注意。到时候就是给华人群体贴奇葩标签，更加被主流社会或者有可能同情华人的人所排斥。华人内部也会加剧分裂与排斥。
Art of the Deal是Trump最最畅销书，他的金字招牌。其实根本不是Trump写的。整本书的真正作者是Tony Schwartz.
其他的书谁写的不言而喻，肯定不会是Trump.
现在Art of Deal这位ghost writer已经跟Trump决裂，冒着被巨额罚款的危险站出来披露Trump这个骗子。现在他正在被Trump告。
而且他已经加入希拉里团队，作为支持希拉里的很多牛人之一。所以第一次debate希拉里这么成竹在胸
我那不是急眼，我那一串感叹号问号是想刺激你一下，哈哈哈不好意思。
法国现在是全部沦陷。很大程度是法国自找的。看burkini ban事件就知道法国虽然号称自由民主，但在处理跟穆斯林关系上干的是跟恐怖分子一样的事情：不要融合，要分裂。
欧洲民族之间流动性巨大是地理决定的事实，不接受这个事实，靠种族隔离最后就是激化矛盾。本来种族之间由于习俗不同就有矛盾，政府不致力缓和矛盾，靠ban，靠隔离，靠强调文化差异不同，一方文化强行压倒另一方文化，那么本来的矛盾有一分，都能被激化成10分。
再说欧洲种族流动战争频繁，自古没变。中国一个汉族，还不是100年闹一次？但是种族流动交流带来近代欧洲文化发展突飞猛进你看不到？你对比下文化单一的中国？
美国本来就是个熔炉，一直在进各国难民，从来没变过。从建国，到二战，美国的强大literally全靠移民（非法的或者合法的）以及难民，传统GOP都承认的事实。如果你不了解美国的背景来了美国，你可以说后悔，但你得面对现实。
法国是自己搞砸了的， 看看德国 也是10%的穆斯林人口， 人家难民潮前好好的。
说得真好！
不过那只猫要是没拿钱她那么努力干嘛
华人上有些人还喜欢说，哇哇，街上又看到一个穆斯林！
华人跟穆斯林，人口在美国半斤八两。理论上说街上看到一个中国人，就能看到一个穆斯林。
又看到一个穆斯林，so what啊
我觉得还是树mm发的那个文章说的中东环境恶化会导致3亿人移民更可怕。
普通人保护好自己。可以争论的时候不让步，该闭嘴的时候懂闭嘴。遇到极端的惹不起躲起，到最后的最后还有法律做武器。
穆斯林也是人，互相体谅，没事看看旅游节目饮食节目历史教育节目，各种介绍穆斯林风俗习惯的。多点共同语言，不要升级矛盾。。。。跟任何一个别的民族相处，难道不都是这一套。而且这难道不是everyday life？
你要把穆斯林特殊化，问题是全球1/4是穆斯林，他们根本没有那么特殊。希望中东早点理顺，早日结束战争没错。但这期间风险分担，各自努力，是每个人的社会责任。全球没有一个玻璃金属杯可以把你自己罩起来。
人家穆斯林女人爱穿多少穿多少，爱遮还是爱裸是人家的自由。学会尊重人很难吗？法国政府把裸体定义为自由，强制别人跟你们法国女人一样裸体上街。你强行让人家脱一次，就别怪人给你培养10个恐怖分子，效率比ISIS还高。
就好像华人这帮追Trump的一样，你整穆斯林你痛快了，穆斯林不会整你？Trump上台准备如何对待穆斯林，往美国本土扔原子弹吗？他上台穆斯林自杀炸弹肯定更多，这还用想
如果你真的想讨论也可以。中国也有新疆打砸抢，没有人因此想推翻政府，法国德国有msl 造成的流血事件没人造反，美国911死了几千人没人让布什下台。说明这些问题仍然可以在现有的法律人文框架下解决。默克尔意识到了难民危机，希拉里也会意识到，现任政府并没有如华人上所说没有经过调查放多少多少难民进来，以后也不会。真要更好的解决问题，需要希拉里这样的有经验有能力的人。一味激化民族矛盾最后更不会和平，更会发生血腥暴力事件。trump只是利用现实问题而不会解决现实问题。
有时候得自己做做功课才知道真张。比如英国脱欧，都说poll是留欧的多，其实投票前几个小时当时的博彩是博留欧的钱多，脱欧的人多。一人一票应该跟着人走。
"全球没有一个玻璃金属杯可以把你自己罩起来" - well said. 川普的政策会叫这个问题radicalized, who knows what's going to happen next.
PS, 你是典型的optimist.
欢迎来到大美利坚
Yay!
今晚的副总统辩论不会有什么惊奇之处，Kaine会往床铺的痛处踩，Pence会帮床铺揩PP（真不容易啊）。
倒是很期待这周末的第二场辩论，床铺太充满娱乐了。赞一个。整天给自己挖坑跳来娱乐大众，这是怎么样的牺牲精神啊，太值得床迷的崇拜啦
床猫说床铺会赢，果然床铺第一场辩论后单方面宣布胜利啦
当然对ScottishFold来说，无所谓candidate如何nasty，本来就是份工作而已。
不过像希拉里给穷困小孩extend了health coverage这件事情估计是川粉愤恨的。 她们估计巴不得穷人死光， 不要浪费她们的税钱
看在同是华人的份上，我们替她们多笑几声吧。哈哈哈哈哈哈（嗯，我一般只是大笑三声的）
刚电视上看到的，今晚Trump要live tweet
看来Polls落后5点刺激到床粉了。居然造谣说克林顿基金会被黑了。
刚好昨天完成了上个项目，可以偷闲几天。网上一搜就知道她们说谎
这频率跟Trump高度一致
太搞笑了
What about your qualities, your skills, and your temperament equip you to step into that role at a moment's notice? Senator Kaine?
KAINE: Elaine, thank you for being here tonight, and, Governor Pence, welcome. It is so great to be back at Longwood University in Farmville, Virginia.
This is a very special place. Sixty-five years ago, a young, courageous woman, Barbara Johns, led a walkout of her high school, Moton High School. She made history by protesting school segregation. She believed our nation was stronger together. And that walkout led to the Brown v. Board of Education decision that moved us down the path toward equality.
I am so proud to be running with another strong, history-making woman, Hillary Clinton, to be president of the United States. I'm proud because her vision of stronger together, building an economy that works for all, not just those at the top, being safe in the world not only with a strong military, but also strong alliances to battle terrorism and climate change, and also to build a community of respect, just like Barbara Johns tried to do 65 years ago. That's why I'm so proud to be her running mate.
Hillary told me why she asked me to be her running mate. She said the test of a Clinton administration will not be the signing of a bill or the passage of a bill. It'll be whether we can make somebody's life better, whether we can make a classroom better learning environment for schoolkids or teachers, whether we can make a safer -- it's going to be about results.
And she said to me, you've been a missionary and a civil rights lawyer. You've been a city councilman and mayor. You've been a lieutenant governor and governor and now a U.S. senator. I think you will help me figure out how to govern this nation so that we always keep in mind that the success of the administration is the difference we make in people's lives.
And that's what I bring to the ticket, that experience having served at all levels of government. But my primary role is to be Hillary Clinton's right-hand person and strong supporter as she puts together the most historic administration possible. And I relish that role. I'm so proud of her.
KAINE: I'll just say this: We trust Hillary Clinton, my wife and I, and we trust her with the most important thing in our life. We have a son deployed overseas in the Marine Corps right now. We trust Hillary Clinton as president and commander-in-chief, but the thought of Donald Trump as commander-in-chief scares us to death.
Pence drew national criticism in March 2015 for signing a “religious freedom” law that would have allowed businesses to refuse services to lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender people.