Interestingly, not really, a brand new NBC/Survey Monkey Poll shows Clinton with a new 5 point lead over Trump. Amazing isn't it...!?!?
Not really, if you look at the methodology...
"An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error,including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error." https://www.scribd.com/document/324571615/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-9-12-9-18 Pretty easy to skew results when you cannot measure your errors, and apply a "smoothing parameter" based on previously tainted data. Simply amazing...
Interestingly, not really, a brand new NBC/Survey Monkey Poll shows Clinton with a new 5 point lead over Trump. Amazing isn't it...!?!?
Not really, if you look at the methodology...
"An additional smoothing parameter for ideology based on previous Election Tracking interviews is included. The smoothing parameter was derived from aggregated data on ideology by region collected from previous weeks (May 1-June 26) of the Weekly Election Tracking poll.
Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling
error can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error,including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error."
https://www.scribd.com/document/324571615/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-9-12-9-18
Pretty easy to skew results when you cannot measure your errors, and apply a "smoothing parameter" based on previously tainted data. Simply amazing...
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
希拉里的牌子不想插,真心不是当总统的料
no
我只支持horn for peace。。
我这也是深蓝州。 sanders 和 trump 都有看到。没有hillary.
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08
Strongly re!
trump没戏
☆ 发自 iPhone 华人一网 1.11.08