特朗普躺着中枪 美媒热议:今天的首尔 明天的华盛顿

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邬所不言

韩国总统尹锡悦“冲冠一怒为红颜”的事情,大家都知道了。截至目前,事态的进展是韩国六大在野党向国会提交弹劾案,按流程,将在当地时间6日或者7日表决。回顾整个“戒严令事件”,尹锡悦在幕僚坚决反对,军方也不支持,甚至没通知美国的情况下发动政变,实在让人费解。美国媒体倒是没评价尹锡悦的行为有多离谱,他们开创全新思路,讨论起:如果同样的事情发生在特朗普治下的华盛顿,我们该怎么办?



昨天夜里的韩国国会现场

韩国惊魂夜

回顾韩国的宪政史,再结合全球各国的政变先例。要实施一次成功的军事政变,必须具备以下条件。首先你要掌控军权,有枪在手才好办事。其次行动要快,不能让你想清除的目标有闪转腾挪的空间。第三要低调,办事儿的时候不能大张旗鼓,成功之后才能对外宣布。最后起码要争取到一部分人,不管是内部还是外部的支持,这样才有利于政变成功后,迅速稳定局势。

对照一下尹锡悦的行为,你就会发现以上的所有条件,他都不具备。据知情人士透露,尹锡悦宣布戒严令之前,曾召集半数比较“忠诚”的国务委员开过会,包括国务总理韩德洙在内的多数人,都不知道尹锡悦要干啥,在他宣布将要发布戒严令的时候,全体国务委员都表示强烈反对,但根据韩国宪法和戒严法,国务会议只能审议戒严令,不能进行表决,最终尹锡悦力排众议,办成了这件事。



“护妻狂魔”尹锡悦

最终的结果,我们都看到了。这可能是韩国历史上最搞笑的一次政变。它实质上成了尹锡悦的“政治自杀”。现在,尹锡悦方面还没有出面表态,可能还在争取执政党的支持,但各大在野党党首已经说了,如果你们不通过弹劾案,不排除过段时间,尹锡悦会再发布一次准备更充分的“戒严令”。

美媒很担心

好,韩国的部分我们就聊到这里,现在只等尹锡悦会不会被弹劾下台,和后续以什么罪名被送进监狱。美国这边又是怎么回事呢?一句话,以CNN为首的亲民主党媒体认为,如果特朗普上任后,遭到民主党弹劾,他也可能干出类似的事情,让军队进入国会山,破坏“美国民主”,总之今天的首尔,很有可能就是明天的华盛顿。

这个话,并非全无依据。因为特朗普在2020年的“黑命贵事件”和输掉大选之后,都尝试过指挥美军来“平叛”,尤其“国会山骚乱”前后,他也提出过利用戒严令,来继续维持权力。这次他赢得大选“王者归来”,已经说了要用军队清扫“内部敌人”,那些对他进行过政治迫害的民主党人,你们就等着瞧吧。



CNN专门请了个韩裔来给特朗普泼脏水

这种预设立场的讨论,又是美西方新闻学的魅力时刻。CNN讨论的前置条件,已经是民主党可能会弹劾特朗普。我们之前也聊过,特朗普从胜选到宣誓就职这段时间,其实相当危险,民主党会不会想办法阻止他上任,或是在他上任后,想办法把他搞下台,都是未可知的事情。

懂王会咋办

那么,参照尹锡悦的精彩表演,特朗普能不能这么做呢?按照美国宪法和戒严法,联邦政府和州政府,都有权在经历战争、动乱和重大自然灾害期间实施戒严令。美国200多年历史上实施过68次戒严令,但大部分都是州一级,而且多是因为自然灾害。上次联邦一级的戒严令还要追溯到“珍珠港事件”,联邦政府对夏威夷下达了为期3年的戒严令,太平洋战争就此打响。

一些法律专家认为,美国总统无权宣布戒严令,这是属于国会的权力。美国最高法院也从未做出过类似裁决。但特朗普的情况比较特殊,他是美国历史上第一位,集白宫、国会、最高法院支持于一身的总统,如果共和党极端派议员都站在特朗普一边,在国会两院拿到过半票数不是什么难事。

真的吗,我能这么干吗

就算在程序上,特朗普不能直接宣布戒严,他也可以引用《反叛乱法》等相关法律,在全国范围内部署美军,这样产生的实际效果也等同于戒严了。总之特朗普这次啊,是“人在家中坐,锅从天上来”,不过换个角度想,这也算是尹锡悦用他的政治生命,为特朗普指出了一条“从未设想过的道路”吧。

拾麦客
1 楼
都特么打穿了川普的耳朵了,还要怎样?左媒不要脸!
体制内
2 楼
谁都不会忘记1月6日
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BDPLX
3 楼
猪媒放P而已
逐风
4 楼
CNN等于美媒?有没有搞错。
居家凡人
5 楼
左媒难改随时随地大小便的坏习惯。
a
alextelltale
6 楼
分析的有板有眼,亦不无道理。
不好吃懒做
7 楼
如果特朗普上任后,遭到民主党弹劾,他也可能干出类似的事情,让军队进入国会山,破坏“美国民主”,总之今天的首尔,很有可能就是明天的华盛顿 - 川普太有可能这么干了!本就是个独裁者,丝毫没有什么民主/法律等概念,总是想干啥就干啥,他永远对。他当选了,那么选举就没问题(这次选举没有错票/假票/无效票?),他没选上那么选举就有问题!有这个无赖,就是`"今天的首尔 明天的华盛顿"!
树没皮怎办
8 楼
如果Pete Hegseth被确认为国防部长,他有可能执行川普的戒严命令。 川普上一任任期,他在司法部的亲信Jeffery Clark, 就主张戒严,没收选举机器。当白宫法律顾问指出,这样会引起民众上街抗议时,Clark说,我们有镇压叛乱法。这在特别检查官史密斯的起诉书里有提到。 川普当时施压司法部代理部长出虚假证明,说发现大规模选举舞弊。他告诉代理部长,你就出个证明,剩下的交给我和国会的共和党议员来处理。被拒绝。 由于Pete Hegseth的丑闻,川普现在正考虑撤回对他的提名,而考虑让佛州州长德桑提斯为国防部长。 感觉德桑提斯还有一定的底线。在2024年预选中,他明确承认,拜登2020年公平地赢得了选举。并说川普只要输了选举,就说选举是操纵的。并举出了2016年预选,Ted Cruz 赢了爱荷华州,川普说Ted Cruz 靠的是作弊的例子。 所以如果德桑提斯为国防部长, 他不一定会执行川普的戒严令。
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Bhistory
9 楼
最终搞死DS的,不是川普,是DS自己干过的那些事 美国每年那么多小孩失踪,Pizza Party, P Diddy, Eptein, ... Spirit cooking, Adrenochrome, 献祭,都是骇人听闻的罪行 堕胎献祭,直到怀孕最后一程,甚至推初生婴儿母亲也可以选择‘堕胎’,美国死了多少人 国家最上层,从假总统,到大量被blackmail控制的DS爪牙,送到国外万亿的援助有多少进入这些人口袋?20多年里,多次大选被盗,911,JFK总统被刺杀 covid全球搞死1400万,多次企图诱发世界大战...过去30年,这个集团在世界上用战争杀了多少人? They are the enemy of USA, and the whole world. 如果DS没干这些坏事,川普是不能拿他们怎么样的 这些人的强大保护,正是假媒体和被假媒体洗脑的群众 这些正在如风散去 真相公布的时候,就是很多人掉脑袋的时候
蓝靛厂
10 楼
CNN做空了一支涨停的股票
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Bhistory
11 楼
PROPHETIC WORD from Julie Green [Word heard – December 1, 2024] My children you are seeing the beginning of the walls of the Establishment starting to crumble and fall away. You are seeing their influence dwindle throughout the world. You are seeing their leaders being exposed for who they really are. You are seeing their power slip through their fingers. In this time you are about to see the walls of the MSM collapse in front of you. Daring people have been silenced with threats, blackmail and are now coming out with proof of what has really been going on with the propaganda machine. Soon many including major players will fall, in the news industry, major journalist, TV and talk show hosts and some who are even still admired, soon won’t be. Dark circles around the Establishment’s control over the news media is being broken as I speak these words. The proof is coming how Washington and the Elites around the world controlled what was allowed to be said through the airwaves to control the nations. Dark scripts are coming to light. Financial control over each network and soon each person will lead you to who really was in charge. Money trails will be linked to many shocking individuals who are still being kept hidden, that have been a part of everything even though it may have appeared that they were wholesome and good. And now you will soon learn the truth about it all. Drugs are about to be in your news for a significant reason. Many Establishment secrets have been buried by sabotaging the ones who knew such secrets, drugging them and staging things to look one way, taking photos or videos for blackmailing individuals that are against the machine or threatened the machine’s existence. I told you repeatedly, many things are not how they appear to be. Drug abuse in Washington is far worse than people realize. I am taking out all the drug cartels that are in your capital.
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Bhistory
12 楼
PART 2 My children ask yourselves these questions…  Your leaders know of drugs being smuggled through your border and they don’t do anything about it. Why?  Your leaders have allowed terrorists in your nation. Why?  Your leaders knew about a pandemic before it was one. Why?  Your leaders take money in other nations by saying it was foreign aid. Why?  Your leaders are attacking your energy supply and paying foreign nations for things like oil when you have plenty of your own. Why?  Your leaders have hidden dark secrets like who truly killed JFK? They are stonewalling and delaying what truly happened in Butler, Pennsylvania – the attempted assassination of Pres Trump. Why? There is way more to this story that is still being hidden. There was more than one shooter for JFK and Pres Trump and all will be revealed.  Your leaders are not helping defending Israel. Why?  Your leaders are purposely wanted other nations to make goods that you could easily make in your own nation. Why did it change?  Your leaders bailed out the big banks in 2008. Why?  Your leaders can’t account for billions of dollars lost. Why?  Your leaders tried to impeach, indict and attempt to kill Pres Trump. Why?  Your leaders continually stole your elections for decades. Why?  Your intelligence community and those agencies are working more against you than working to protect you in this nation. Why? Soon My children you will have the answers to all of these questions. For truth will pour out to expose every dirty deal, every money trail, every dirty politician and every dirty person in your intelligence community, judges, military and you name it. When I said I was cleaning house, I meant it. I am not leaving anything out says the Lord of Hosts. Travis Scott will be in your news for a shocking reason. I told you the entertainment industry is not done shaking and there will be many more like him that will be exposed.
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Bhistory
13 楼
PART 3 of 3 The NBA world is about to be rocked because scandal after scandal will destroy the walls of protection they’ve had because of the Establishment. The sports world and every dark and dirty secret will be exposed in a major way. Truth about the chemtrails will finally be revealed. Your leaders tried to put conspiracy behind everything they were hiding but it will not work any longer. Everything they labelled as a conspiracy and it wasn’t, will all come out in the open. My children I am keeping your enemies on their toes as they are being fully exposed. Everything they continue to hide, deny, or try to stay in control of, will be wiped away right in front of them with no way of stopping this collapse of their power. The White House Chief of Staff will be exposed and everyone before him who has committed the same crimes. Hillary and Bill Clinton’s dark past is about to come out in the open in a major way because even the big Establishment players are about to fall big time. My children the time has come for more shaking in this nation and around the world. Stand strong because the giants are coming down says the Lord Your Redeemer.
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chinesegod3
14 楼
左媒喜欢用2020年国会山说事,20年拜登8000多万选票是违反常识的事。只是美国的法律容易让流氓占空子而已。就像辛普森案,常识认为肯定是他杀的,但是法律拿他没办法。
蓝靛厂
15 楼
chinesegod3 发表评论于 2024-12-04 09:32:24 左媒喜欢用2020年国会山说事,20年拜登8000多万选票是违反常识的事 --- 选举之前我说这次共和党盯紧了肯定票数不会多于2020年。有民主党小朋友跟我这不服哈。 从得票/人口的拜登是近里根之后最受欢迎的总统。完爆奥巴马克林顿,民主党真是太搞笑了。
京西观察使
16 楼
中国倒是有可能再来一次或几次64
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pcboy888
17 楼
一个问题:为了打倒deepstate反动派,消灭人民的敌人,是否值得推翻“万恶”的民主制度,用川帝个人的伟大领导取而代之?
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charley3
18 楼
写这篇文章的人对美国有一点点的了解吗?没有州长的紧急状态,总统对各州啥也做不了。
旁观者XWY
19 楼
扯谈,发布戒严令不等于政变。行政立法都没有变。