The Russian oligarchs, businessmen, government officials and the average people will have to join hands, no matter where they were on the political spectrum before the invasion of Ukraine, to overthrow Putin to prevent his madness from taking Russia further into disasters.
Once Putin is toppled, the new Russia will most likely become a pro-West or at least neutral nation. Xi’s dream of partnering with Russia to confront the West will quickly turn into a nightmare. The West will definitely go after him.
俄罗斯调查新闻团体 Bellingcat首席记者格罗泽夫(Christo Grozev)稍早探知,莫斯科国安高层认定这场侵略乌克兰战争已经失败,普京(Vladimir Putin)恐在3个月内遭到推翻。
格罗泽夫稍早在自由欧洲电台(Radio Liberty)的节目指出,即便普京想要下令发动核武攻击,相关官员也不会听命,因为众人怀疑他3个月后到底还在不在位。
格罗泽夫指出,莫斯科决策圈知道,要想打赢侵乌战争,就必须祭出总动员,但这样一来会导致俄罗斯“社会爆炸”。一些强硬派可能会施压要求使用核武器或化学武器,但其他人会说“够了”,“最好不要再浪费我们士兵和军官的一万条生命”。
格罗泽夫指出,俄罗斯要想发射核武,需要经过5位官员,其中几位最终可能会抗命不从。此举可能会引发政变。因此,普京要是无法确认人人都愿意听他的,擅自下令的结果可能导致自己性命不保。
格罗泽夫指出,俄罗斯联邦安全局以及军方的情报总局格鲁乌(GRU)都已经展开准备,面临普京去职的可能变化。